UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (Aug. 2026) It seems unlikely that households will continue to fund increases in their real spending by borrowing more and reducing their saving rates, as they did in August, for much longer. And the further fall... 29th September 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Housing headwinds grow despite "Your First Home" scheme We suspect the “Your First Home” scheme announced by the Prime Minster over the weekend will boost both housing transactions and housing starts from 2027. But this effect will probably be more than... 28th September 2026 · 3 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Sep. 2026) Our China Activity Proxy suggests that growth slowed further to just 1.3% y/y in August. This reflects lingering typhoon disruptions and continued weakness in fiscal spending, with local governments... 28th September 2026 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack Q3 2026 All-property capital values continue to hold up. But valuations already looked stretched prior to bond yield rises seen in recent weeks. With confidence in the recovery sagging, the outlook for... 24th September 2026 · 0 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Further rises in property yields are on the way A higher path for interest rates means we now expect euro-zone all-property yields to rise by 15-20bps over the next 6-12 months. The risk of increases appears greatest in Paris, where the property-to... 24th September 2026 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update Higher rates and tariffs to continue to limit homebuilding The renewed rise in mortgage rates reinforces our view that housing starts will fall further in the coming years, keeping downward pressure on residential investment. This does not imply an impending... 23rd September 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economic Outlook Rate hikes nearing their end The RBA will deliver another 25bp hike in September, given continued stickiness in underlying inflation. But unlike markets we doubt further tightening will prove necessary. With the labour market... 23rd September 2026 · 20 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Sep. 26) A negative yield impact outweighed rental growth in August, meaning all-property capital values recorded a year-on-year decline for the first time since late 2024. But we still think the 10-year gilt... 22nd September 2026 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Productivity gains not yet accompanied by weaker office demand Despite productivity gains that could reduce the need for office space, markets with a high share of information and communication jobs have generally seen stronger office take-up over the past year... 22nd September 2026 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Q3 2026 All-property valuation scores saw little movement in Q2, as property and alternative asset yields held steady. But the sharp rise in Treasury yields since then points to a worsening in valuations in... 18th September 2026 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update US Pending Home Sales & Mortgage Apps. (Aug. 2026) 30-year fixed mortgage rates nearly hit 7% in the week ending 11th September and are likely to have risen further since, with the 10-year Treasury yield – their closely correlated benchmark – briefly... 17th September 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Aug. 2026) While single-family housing starts rebounded in August, the fall in the number of building permits issued last month suggests this strength will be short-lived. The big picture remains that elevated... 17th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Update Housing Watch (Sep. 2026) Higher borrowing costs took some momentum out of the housing market in August. We expect this to continue to halt the nascent recovery over the coming months. 15th September 2026 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Rapid Response US Commercial Property Lending (August) Net lending by banks to commercial real estate excluding farms recovered to $8.3bn in August, from $4.6bn in July. That’s in line with the average over the past year of $8.4bn. Within the total, net... 11th September 2026 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Trump may yet tighten the screw further While the Trump administration's planned import ban on some Canadian goods doesn't change much for the growth outlook, further escalation such as US withdrawal from CUSMA could be disastrous. We... 11th September 2026 · 6 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Fall in foreign students to weigh on UK PBSA rents Student accommodation yields have seen a relatively large 50bps increase over the past year. That looks to reflect a sharp drop in rental growth expectations, which in turn looks due to a renewed drop... 11th September 2026 · 4 mins read
