UK Commercial Property Rapid Response Lending to commercial property (May 25) Net lending to property had another strong month in May, with the total of £2.15bn the largest amount in five years. 30th June 2025 · 1 min read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (May 2025) Today’s money and lending data release supports wider evidence that activity was relatively soft in May. But with consumer confidence improving and real wages rising at a healthy clip, we still think... 30th June 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Why we still predict Paris office rents to grow by more than the consensus Despite a sluggish economic backdrop and rising vacancy rates in the wider Paris office market, we continue to believe that prime office rental growth will be stronger than the consensus expects. This... 27th June 2025 · 3 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Outlook APAC Commercial Property Outlook: Values to fall as region’s markets struggle to recover The outlook for the Asia-Pacific markets is relatively poor. We think higher-for-longer bond yields will limit the pace of recovery in this cycle globally, but this will be compounded by a weak... 27th June 2025 · 20 mins read
Asset Allocation Outlook Asset Allocation Outlook: The calm after the storm With the noise around US tariffs and war in the Middle East fading, at least for now, we think the stage is set for some further decent returns from “risky” assets – especially US equities – over the... 26th June 2025 · 27 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Swiss prime property values to recover sooner than most A comparatively attractive spread over risk-free rates and solid investor sentiment mean there is scope for Swiss prime property yields to fall further than in most other European markets this year... 26th June 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economic Outlook ANZ Outlook: Central banks to loosen further as recoveries falter Australia’s economy is struggling to gain momentum, while the recent rebound in activity in New Zealand isn’t likely to be sustained. As the lull in activity lifts spare capacity, underlying price... 26th June 2025 · 20 mins read
US Commercial Property Update No relief in sight for US CRE development A downbeat view on new supply underpins our overall CRE outlook. In the short term, the risks skew firmly to the downside and recent economic disruption reinforces this, while further out tight... 25th June 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US New Home Sales (May 2025) The large fall in new home sales in May cancels out all of the positivity of the past couple of months and serves as a valuable reminder that buyer activity can only rise so far with mortgage rates... 25th June 2025 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Obsolescence to hit UK secondary logistics rental growth Despite solid take-up the industrial vacancy rate has risen to a 10-year high, which reflects occupiers shifting into new buildings at the expense of the secondhand market. We expect that dynamic to... 25th June 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook US Commercial Property Outlook: More capital value falls to come in all sectors this year We think the short-term outlook for capital values is poor, with valuations looking stretched across all measures. This does not appear to be reflected in other forecasts, meaning our forecasts for... 24th June 2025 · 22 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Apr. 2025) After falling in March, the further 0.3% m/m decline in house prices in April raises the risk that prices are entering a sustained downturn, as the market finally buckles under the weight of near-7%... 24th June 2025 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (May 2025) The small rebound in existing home sales in May could be a sign of things to come, if more supply and the recent rebound in consumer sentiment draw would-be buyers back into the market. However, with... 23rd June 2025 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update UK multifamily returns to be supported by easing costs A combination of factors, including surging energy and wage costs and an increased regulatory burden, have pushed multifamily operational costs to over 40% of rent, cutting income returns. But with... 19th June 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Europe Commercial Property Outlook: Insulated from tariffs but outlook for property values is weak European commercial property is relatively insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, but property markets are also not likely to see substantial benefit from more fiscal spending. In all, our... 19th June 2025 · 27 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (May 2025) The sharp drop in housing starts in May is not as bad as it looks, as it was entirely due to a steep decline in groundbreaking in the volatile multi-family sector, while unseasonably wet weather in... 18th June 2025 · 2 mins read
