APAC Commercial Property Update HK offices won’t reclaim 2018 peaks over the next decade Hong Kong’s office market has long demonstrated resilience in weathering economic storms, but the current downturn is unlike any cycle since at least the 1990s. Facing simultaneous structural and... 31st July 2025 · 4 mins read
China Economics Update Politburo prioritises supply-side over demand-side The readout from today’s Politburo meeting strikes a less dovish tone compared with the previous meeting on economic affairs back in April and stops short of committing to any additional monetary or... 30th July 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Outlook UK Housing Outlook: House prices to beat expectations in 2026 The stuttering jobs market and the softening outlook for wage growth means we now expect the recovery in both housing demand and prices this year to be slower than we previously thought. As a result... 29th July 2025 · 17 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (May 2025) The second consecutive 0.3% m/m fall in house prices in May suggests that the market is still struggling to find balance under the weight of near-7% mortgages, in turn presenting a risk to our view... 29th July 2025 · 2 mins read
China Economics Update China trip notes – shrugging off trade tensions We spent last week in Beijing and Shanghai visiting clients. The mood in China was not as downbeat as a year ago and our sense is that many companies and residents have adapted to the new normal of... 29th July 2025 · 5 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response Lending to commercial property (Jun. 25) 29th July 2025 · 1 min read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (Jun. 2025) June’s money and lending figures support wider evidence that the deteriorating jobs market has led to a rise in consumer caution as households have become a bit more cautious about spending. This... 29th July 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Tariff uncertainty drags on Q2 CRE investment The recovery in euro-zone investment paused in Q2 against a backdrop of trade policy and economic uncertainty. While the trade deal means some of that uncertainty has reduced, we expect that the... 29th July 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update NCREIF Q2 2025: Another disappointingly muted release At 1.2% q/q, second quarter returns were roughly in line with expectations. But the data support our view that appraisals don’t fully reflect the drop in values needed for assets to transact. While a... 28th July 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Global CRE to outperform other assets Although a forecast global real estate return of sub-6% p.a. over the next decade appears disappointing, compared to other assets it stacks up well. We expect sub-4% total returns for both global... 24th July 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Jul. 25) Yields for the main commercial property sectors have been remarkably stable over past 18 months, and we expect that stability will continue. That means capital value growth will average under 3% p.a... 24th July 2025 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (July 2025) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Australia’s economy is struggling to gain momentum, while the recent rebound in activity in New... 24th July 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (June 2025) The fall in existing home sales in June comes despite the recent rebound in consumer confidence, suggesting affordability is still the main driver of homebuyer activity. With house price declines... 23rd July 2025 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Improving CRE lending outlook unlikely to boost investment Recent surveys of real estate lenders point to a continued improvement in the European commercial real estate lending environment. However, with refinancing still dominating lending activity, this is... 23rd July 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update US offices divergence poses both a risk and an opportunity We expect the divergence in performance between the best performing offices and the rest to persist through our forecast. This will see further capital value falls in average and poorer quality space... 22nd July 2025 · 5 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Netherlands prime office rent performance to slow Low vacancy and limited new completions this year will see Rotterdam rent growth continue to outperform Amsterdam over 2025, before supply picks up substantially in 2026. That will bring rent growth... 18th July 2025 · 3 mins read
