UK Economics Chart Pack Higher inflation starts to bite There are growing signs that the post-referendum strength in consumer spending is beginning to fade. With CPI inflation set to pick up to around 3% by the end of this year, growth in households’ real... 17th February 2017 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Post-Brexit momentum maintained at the start of 2017 Following a strong end to 2016, the economy appears to have carried a decent amount of momentum over into 2017. Despite a slight fall in the Markit/CIPS all-sector PMI in January, it is still at a... 6th February 2017 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Retailers’ cost pressures build further Household spending has remained remarkably robust, despite Brexit uncertainty. Admittedly, this looks unlikely to last. After all, while wage growth is picking up, inflation is on the rise too. Indeed... 20th January 2017 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack A strong end to 2016 Revisions from the ONS mean that quarterly GDP growth in Q3 is now estimated to have been 0.6% – the same as in Q2. What’s more, business surveys suggest that this pace was maintained in Q4... 6th January 2017 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Good start to the festive season There has been no sign of a let-up in the strong pace of high-street spending growth at the start of the festive season. But it seems doubtful that spending will maintain its recent strength in the... 15th December 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Little sign that the economy has slowed in Q4 Both households and businesses appear to have been undeterred by Brexit uncertainty in Q3. What’s more, the latest business surveys suggest that the economy will turn in another solid performance in... 5th December 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Consumers continue to shrug off Brexit worries After narrowly avoiding EU fines for its excessive fiscal deficit, the Portuguese Government has a lot of work to do to get its finances in order. But strong political resistance to austerity and... 17th November 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Economy sustains its momentum but price pressures rise The latest business surveys suggest that the economy maintained its strength at the start of Q4. Gains in both the Markit/CIPS services and construction PMIs in October left the economy-wide composite... 3rd November 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Spending growth holding up well Consumer spending growth is unlikely to maintain the strength seen since the referendum in the coming quarters. Real household incomes are likely to take a hit, with employment intention surveys... 20th October 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Q3 growth slowdown won’t be too sharp Both survey and hard data published this month suggest that GDP will grow moderately in Q3, avoiding too sharp of a slowdown from Q2’s upwardly-revised quarterly rate of 0.7%. Indeed, the 0.4% monthly... 5th October 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Spending growth slowdown not too sharp Consumer spending growth should slow in the coming few quarters as a result of a number of headwinds. Indeed, we expect the Brexit vote to cause some firms to put a halt on hiring decisions, slowing... 15th September 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Growth slows but full-blown recession should be avoided At first glance, the economy appears to have brushed off the EU referendum. The economy was performing well prior to the vote, with GDP and employment growth both accelerating in Q2. Meanwhile... 5th September 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Little sign of immediate post-referendum hit to spending The UK’s vote to leave the EU means that consumer spending growth is set to slow on the back of a weakening jobs market and a squeeze on real wage growth. Confidence has already fallen since the vote... 18th August 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Bank of England’s meaningful action boosts asset prices The prospect – and subsequent delivery – of monetary policy stimulus from the Bank of England in August has helped UK assets to continue their recovery from the shock of the vote to leave the EU... 9th August 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Surveys provide first signs of post-referendum slowdown The latest data suggests that the economy dealt well with the pre-referendum uncertainty, with GDP growth picking up from 0.4% in Q1 to 0.6% in Q2. But the quarterly expansion was entirely driven by... 3rd August 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Confidence takes a knock post-referendum The near-term outlook for the consumer recovery has weakened since the UK voted to leave the EU last month. Indeed, consumers’ confidence in the economic outlook deteriorated sharply, and the drop in... 21st July 2016 · 1 min read
