UK Economic Outlook Have we ever had it so good? (Q2 05) As usual, the economy looks set to take centre stage in the general election campaign, with voters set to be bombarded with a baffling array of claims, counterclaims and statistics relating to its... 30th March 2005 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook 2005 – The year it all starts to go wrong? (Q1 05) The last ten years have been a golden period for the UK economy, with strong and stable GDP growth accompanied by falling unemployment, low inflation and low interest rates. But are things about to go... 13th December 2004 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Black gold or black death? (Q4 04) Given the UK’s disastrous experiences following the oil price shocks of the 1970s, it is no wonder that the recent increase in the oil price has fuelled talk of rising inflation and the threat of... 27th September 2004 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Monetary Policy at the Crossroads (Q3 04) The general perception among economists and the markets alike is that the UK’s inflation targeting monetary policy regime is the model that all other countries should follow. But is the current regime... 27th June 2004 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Shop or drop? (Q2 04) Despite widespread expectations that the growth of household spending would slow under the weight of record levels of household debt, there has been little evidence that the spending boom is coming to... 30th March 2004 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The pound at a critical juncture (Q1 04) The pound has been caught in the middle of a major realignment between the US dollar and the euro, which we believe could have significantly further to go. 30th December 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The economic consequences of EU enlargement (Q4 03) In May next year, eight Central and Eastern European Countries together with Cyprus and Malta will join the European Union, increasing membership from 15 to 25 states. How this enlargement works will... 27th September 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The Chancellor's five-point plan for Britain (Q3 03) The Treasury’s assessment of the five economic tests to determine whether the UK should adopt the euro has had an unexpected benefit – five ideas for reform, admittedly not all new, to improve the... 27th June 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The five tests for euro entry: pass or fail? (Q2 03) In a few months, the Treasury will complete its assessment of the five economic tests for UK adoption of the single currency. Should the tests be passed, a referendum could follow in the autumn and we... 30th March 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Heading for a harder landing (Q1 03) Official and market forecasts of a steady acceleration in the growth of the UK economy over the next few years rely on a gradual and orderly unwinding of the imbalances built up in the last five. But... 27th December 2002 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Sterling - still too high after all these years (Q4 02) With the issue of UK entry into the single European currency likely to come to the fore again over the next year or so, whether the exchange rate is at an appropriate level for entry will be a... 27th September 2002 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook A major rebalancing of the British economy is on the way (Q3 02) Having pulled the economy along almost single-handedly in recent years, the consumer express train is about to hit the buffers. 27th June 2002 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Is the world well on the way to recovery? (Q2 02) The world economy has shown encouraging signs of recovery in the last three months. Surveys of business and consumer confidence have rebounded, and industrial orders have started to rise again. And in... 30th March 2002 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Profits - The Bottom Line; Sharp falls in store in 2002 (Q1 02) A simultaneous slowdown in all of the industrial nations is now underway. The result is that global growth in 2002 may be the weakest in post-war history. 13th December 2001 · 1 min read
