Precious Metals Update Investors to return to precious metals We think that the prices of precious metals, except palladium, will rise in 2019, in part because we expect an early end to Fed tightening and stronger safe-haven demand in the second half of the year... 28th November 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Silver surplus unlikely to last long The silver market has moved into its first meaningful surplus since 2010 as investor demand has plunged but we expect this will rebound next year, causing the surplus to dwindle and silver prices to... 21st November 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Q3 2018 World Gold Council Demand Trends After a lacklustre first half of the year, global gold demand rose in Q3, albeit marginally. We think that consumer demand may well remain soft in Q4, but the upturn in ETF holdings in October could... 1st November 2018 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Weak auto sales signal lower metals prices ahead Automobile demand has been sluggish for several months in China. This will weigh on demand for most metals and lead to lower prices too, especially for platinum group metals (PGMs) prices. 18th October 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Gold/silver price ratio to fall from 23-year high We think the prices of both gold and silver will rise in 2019 but silver looks set to outperform. It will benefit from its higher beta, a recovery in investor interest and a sharp slowdown in mine... 17th September 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Weak consumer demand to drag on gold prices The latest trade data for India and China show divergent trends in imports of gold by the two largest consumers. China’s gold imports dropped on signs that the economy is slowing, while India’s... 28th August 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Gold bugs hold tight, brighter times ahead Given our view that the dollar will remain strong into 2019 and that growth in jewellery demand will continue to soften, we have recently revised down our end-2018 forecast for the price of gold. That... 15th August 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Gold to remain under pressure in 2018 A preference for the US dollar as a safe haven has weighed on gold prices over the past few months. Given our view that the dollar will remain strong into 2019 and that growth in jewellery demand will... 9th August 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Q2 & H1 2018 World Gold Council Demand Trends Global gold demand declined to the lowest level since 2009 in the first half of 2018 and we expect it to remain softover the coming months as a strong dollar, coupled with rising US interest rates... 2nd August 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update What is behind rhodium's outperformance? The price of rhodium has so far been insulated from deteriorating investor sentiment towards platinum group metals (PGMs) more generally. While rhodium is still likely to outperform its sister metals... 27th July 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update How is gold demand faring in the wake of protectionism? A stronger dollar and lower economic growth in some of the largest consumers should have a negative impact on demand for gold, which could add to the downward pressure on prices. But for now, we still... 16th July 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Gold: short-term pain, long-term gain Despite mounting trade tensions, the price of gold has slumped in recent weeks prompting some commentators to question its safe-haven appeal. While we expect gold to remain under pressure in the short... 6th July 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Fed tightening to put a cap on gold prices in 2018 Somewhat counterintuitively, the price of gold edged higher following the Federal Reserve’s decision to hike US interest rates for the second time this year. But we don’t think this is the start of a... 14th June 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Silver’s outperformance won’t last While a jump in US Treasury yields has weighed on the price of gold over the past month, the price of silver has rallied. However, we doubt that silver will outperform gold for long. 7th June 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update How sustainable is the recent fall in gold prices? The recent fall has brought the price of gold close to our end-2018 forecast of $1,300. While Fed policy tightening is usually negative for gold prices, higher demand for inflation hedges and a weaker... 17th May 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update More downside ahead for PGMs Supply of platinum group metals (PGMs) is likely to fall in 2018, as reserve depletion in South Africa takes its toll. Nonetheless, we expect prices to decline from current levels as demand is also... 10th May 2018 · 1 min read
