Europe Commercial Property Update Returns from Italian assets to underwhelm Driven by falls in capital values, total returns from office and retail assets in Italy are forecast to be at the bottom of the euro-zone pack. Industrial returns will be better, but still just below... 4th April 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Stockholm offices deserve renewed attention Our latest forecasts paint a bright picture for Stockholm office returns over the next few years, supported by “lower for longer” bond yields and another upgrade to rental value growth. 2nd April 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Could QE bring even lower property yields? The odds have tipped towards the ECB re-starting its QE programme next year. This would increase the likelihood of further reductions in euro-zone prime property yields, but, as yet, this expected... 19th March 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Rising prime retail yields to go against the flow Near zero low risk-free rates will support Western European office and industrial pricing, despite a softer rental growth outlook. In contrast, with the retail sector also dealing with structural... 15th March 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Retail weakness not just reserved for secondary assets The recent poor performance of “average” retail property will persist over the next few years as investors shy away from risky cash flows. However, we also expect prime high streets to underperform... 13th March 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Non-CBD Helsinki to outperform in 2019-20 Helsinki CBD office returns are set to underperform the rest of the city in 2019-20, as the hunt for yield sees investors drive secondary yields lower. However, with prime rents forecast to grow by 3%... 7th March 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are we too pessimistic about UK property yields? Over the last year, UK all-property yields have risen above those in the euro-zone for the first time in a decade and we think this gap will widen. This crossover is unusual, but it largely reflects... 4th March 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Weaker retail outlook to hold Dublin rents With consumer spending growth slowing and the boost to households from rising house prices fading, we think that prime high street rents in Dublin are likely to plateau over the next couple of years. 26th February 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Office rental growth in Lisbon to stall in 2020 After two strong years for Lisbon office rents, a rise in development activity, alongside fading occupier demand, is set to curb rental growth in 2020. What’s more, rents could potentially fall in... 19th February 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will industrial property weather the slowdown? A weaker outlook for the euro-zone economy reinforces our view that industrial rental growth will slow this year and next. With policy rates on hold, we don’t expect upward pressure on industrial... 8th February 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Troubling times for Belgian retail Belgium’s retail sector is under significant pressure from both cyclical and structural forces. As a result, we expect rents to fall again in 2019 and yields to tick upwards slightly. 6th February 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Allure of property to keep investment strong in 2019 With risk-free rates expected to stay low, the continued attractiveness of commercial property returns means that investment in 2019 likely to be close to last year’s record level. 1st February 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Further fall in Italian investment likely this year A poor economic outlook and elevated political risks are unlikely to result in a reversal of the increased risk aversion towards Italian property assets. As a result, investment in Italy is likely to... 30th January 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Outlook for Spanish office rents still good With only a small downgrade to our outlook for the Spanish economy, office occupier demand looks set to stay healthy. As such, rental growth in Barcelona and Madrid will continue to be amongst the... 25th January 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Re-assessing the outlook for German occupier markets A poorer outlook for the German economy has increased the downside risks to our outlook for occupier markets, most notably in the industrial sector as weaker global demand cools export growth. 24th January 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Investment in Europe shifting back to core strategies With plenty of capital still waiting to be deployed and attractive returns on offer, investment in European commercial property is likely to be strong again this year. However, a swing back towards... 18th January 2019 · 1 min read
