Headlines have been dominated by talk of what follows this most recent era of globalisation, forming the basis of this year’s Davos meetings and a new IMF paper warning of a potentially major hit to the global economy. It’s a theme we’ve been discussing with clients for months, leading up to and following last October’s publication of our work on the fracturing of the global economy. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing discusses what's missing from the debate around fracturing, what the world economy looks like in an age of fracturing, and explains which countries and sectors will be most vulnerable as geopolitics increasingly drives policy-making. Plus, Senior Economic Adviser Vicky Redwood talks to Chief Global Economist Jennifer McKeown about housing market downturns and what they mean for advanced economies and the timing of central bank pivots. Click here to read the research referenced in this episode.
Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing highlights some of the crucial points that have been missing from the nascent debate around the fragmentation of the global economy. Plus, could housing downturns push central banks to pivot on policy? Senior Economic Adviser Vicky Redwood talks to Chief Global Economist Jennifer McKeown about her latest briefing note for clients on housing vulnerabilities.