10th May 2024 “Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics stressed that the below-target inflation projection implies that the “Bank thinks rates may need to fall a bit further than the market path it used to generate its forecasts”. View article
What is on Rachel Reeves’ menu for raising UK taxes? “If a lot of money needs to be raised, it’s hard to see how the chancellor does this without breaking her tax pledges — although there will undoubtedly be some political spin that tries to convince... 9th July 2025 · Financial Times
British retail sales tumble 2.7 per cent in May Paul Dales, economist at the consultancy Capital Economics, said: “The sharp drop back in retail sales volumes . . . adds to other evidence that the burst of economic growth in Q1 is over.” 20th June 2025 · Financial Times
When will the Bank of England cut interest rates again? After the inflation numbers were released, a cut in August “looked less likely”, according to Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics. “But last week we found out that the CPI [consumer... 16th June 2025 · The Times