FX Markets Weekly Wrap Central bank surprises work against dollar ahead of FOMC The US dollar looks poised to end another week down a touch – the DXY index’s first consecutive weekly fall since April. That probably reflects yield gaps vis-à-vis most other developed markets (DMs)... 9th June 2023 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar rebound skips a beat on FOMC ambivalence After a strong run since mid-May, the US dollar has stalled this week after a run of mixed data and Fed officials striking a cautious tone in recent speeches pushed US interest rate expectations a... 2nd June 2023 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap US dollar marches on thanks to “higher for longer” For the third week running, the dollar looks primed to notch up decent gains against most other major currencies. We don’t think newsflow regarding the US debt ceiling (which has swung from positive... 26th May 2023 · 10 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Rising yields push dollar higher ahead of Powell comments The US dollar looks set to end the week stronger against most major currencies amid the prospect of policy rates in developed markets (DM) remaining “higher for longer”. While this week’s rise in DM... 19th May 2023 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap US dollar climbs amid unease in markets The US dollar looks poised to end the week stronger against most major currencies, with the DXY Index on track for its biggest weekly rise since the index peaked in late September 2022. We think this... 12th May 2023 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Banking turmoil continues to hamstring the US dollar Despite a bumper week for economic data, currency markets remain in limbo. While the dollar regained some ground today after a(nother) stronger-than-expected US non-farm payrolls report, it has been... 5th May 2023 · 10 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar struggles to gain ground amid mixed US data Another mixed set of data out of the US this week – GDP , consumption and the Employment Cost Index – generally pointed to stubbornly high price pressures and slowing growth. The dollar reversed its... 28th April 2023 · 11 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar stabilises despite strong global data The fluctuations following the release of PMI data out of the euro-zone, UK and US look set to leave the dollar broadly unchanged against most major currencies since last Friday. These data – along... 21st April 2023 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Another tough week for dollar bulls Despite a bounce today, the US dollar is set to end the week lower against most currencies and around its weakest level, in aggregate, in a year. This partly reflects that, even though Treasury yields... 14th April 2023 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Safe -haven currencies edge higher ahead of payrolls It has been another relatively subdued week in currency markets, but despite another batch of disappointing economic data out of the US and accompanying falls in US interest rate expectations, the... 6th April 2023 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap US dollar edges lower even as banking concerns ease Despite making up some ground today, the dollar seems set to end the week somewhat lower against nearly all major currencies. Banking turmoil in the US and elsewhere appears to be receding (for now)... 31st March 2023 · 10 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar continues to see-saw on banking sector turmoil The US dollar had spent much of the week on the back foot amid a growing belief that banking sector issues might prove a largely US-specific problem. But that narrative, and price action, has (again)... 24th March 2023 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Banking panic leaves currency markets strangely unmoved In a week dominated by headlines about bank failures and the risk of another financial crisis, resulting in extraordinary volatility in government bond markets as interest rate expectations have... 17th March 2023 · 11 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Powell, bank runs & payrolls add to crosswinds in currencies The dollar’s sharp rally after Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish testimony to Congress on Tuesday sent US interest rate expectations soaring now looks like ancient history. Instead, after unexpected turmoil... 10th March 2023 · 10 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Currency phoney war continues ahead of US payrolls & BoJ Currency markets have mostly gone sideways this week, with the US dollar set to end it a touch weaker against most other major currencies. With both activity and price data continuing to surprise to... 3rd March 2023 · 11 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap The dollar continues its slow and steady rise The US dollar looks set to end a third week higher against most major currencies amid mounting evidence that the US economy started the year on strong footing. In particular, hawkish FOMC minutes and... 24th February 2023 · 10 mins read
