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Drop-In: UK Economic Outlook – Raising rates in a recession

Drop-In: UK Economic Outlook – Raising rates in a recession

Start date:

Wednesday, July 20, 2022 - 16:00 BST

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Raising our mortgage rate forecasts

Our new higher forecasts for US Treasury yields mean that mortgage rates won’t fall as quickly as we previously predicted. While we still expect mortgage rates to decline they are unlikely to fall...

26th October 2023 · 3 mins read

Raising our forecasts for the 10-year Treasury yield

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Raising our forecasts for the 10-year Treasury yield

We still expect the 10-year Treasury yield to fall in the coming quarters. But we’ve revised up our projections for that yield from now to end of 2025, and now think it will reach its cyclical low in...

19th October 2023 · 3 mins read

Raising our long-run ECB interest rate forecast

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Raising our long-run ECB interest rate forecast

We have recently published detailed analysis arguing that equilibrium interest rates in advanced economies are now higher than they were before the pandemic, and that they will continue to rise over...

17th October 2023 · 3 mins read

Venezuela: raising oil output will be a long journey

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The reported deal that is close to being reached to lift US sanctions on Venezuela’s oil sector in return for competitive elections would help to raise the country’s oil output from very depressed...

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