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Commodities Forecast Forum 2018

30 January, 2018

Commodities in 2018: Will the party continue?

08:30     Coffee & registration.

08:55     Introduction

Roger Bootle, Chairman

09:00     Will 2018 be a Goldilocks year for the world economy?

Andrew Kenningham, Chief Global Economist

  • How much longer will the expansion continue?
  • What will be the effects of tighter monetary policy?
  • What is the outlook for emerging markets?

09:15     Is the global economic backdrop positive for commodities?

Caroline Bain, Chief Commodities Economist

  • Will the slowdown in China cause a major disruption?
  • Or do the risks lie with US monetary policy?
  • What can replace China as the engine of commodities demand?

09:30     Will the green economy save industrial metals?

Simona Gambarini, Commodities Economist

  • Have we got too excited about the prospects for EVs?
  • Which metals are likely to benefit?
  • What other factors could be more important drivers of metal prices this year?

09:45     With the OPEC extension agreed, is it all quiet on the oil front?

Thomas Pugh, Commodities Economist

  • Are OPEC’s output cuts working?
  • Or will US shale producers continue to spoil the cartel’s plans?
  • What does sustainable growth in China mean for energy commodities?

10:00     Questions and discussion.

Chaired by Roger Bootle

10:30     Close & Coffee.

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