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Commodities Forecast Forum 2018

30 January, 2018
The Royal Automobile Club, London

The prices of industrial metals, energy and gold surged in the final months of 2017 and investor optimism was at a high at the start of this year. At our Commodities Forecast Forum, “Commodities in 2018: Will the party continue?”, we discuss whether the rally in commodities prices has further to run given our outlook for global growth and monetary policy, whether electric vehicles can be a game-changer for industrial metals and whether the oil market is likely to fall into deficit this year. Finally, we consider the potential risks to our forecasts.

  • Will 2018 be a Goldilocks year for the World Economy?

    Andrew Kenningham, our Chief Global Economist, discusses the following:

    • The outlook for the US and euro-zone.
    • Implications of monetary policy tightening.
    • Prospects for China and other emerging economies.
    • What are the key risks?

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  • Is the Global Economic Backdrop Positive for Commodities?

    Caroline Bain, our Chief Commodities Economist, discusses the following:

    • Will the slowdown in China cause a major disruption?
    • What are the implications for metals markets?
    • Or do the risks – particularly for the price of gold – lie with US monetary policy?

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  • Will the Green Economy Save Industrial Metals?

    Simona Gambarini, our Commodities Economist, discusses the following:

    • Have we got too excited about electric vehicles?
    • Which metals are likely to benefit?
    • What other factors could be more important?
    • Conclusions & summary of key forecasts.

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  • Can Oil Hold on to its Gains?

    Thomas Pugh, our Commodities Economist, discusses the following:

    • Can the recent upturn in demand growth be sustained?
    • Will OPEC compliance slip and can US production continue to surge?
    • What is the outlook for oil prices?
    • What are the key geopolitical risks?

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