We are sceptical that tighter US monetary policy will spell disaster for emerging market (EM) assets. Granted, their prices fell sharply after Ben Bernanke first hinted that the Fed was thinking about...

This Update provides some examples of where our views on the economic and market outlook differ significantly from the consensus. It draws on the range of country and regional services produced by our...

The strength of the UK’s economic recovery and more hawkish signals coming from members of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) have prompted us to revise our projection for the path...

The 10-year Treasury yield rose by only a small amount during the Fed’s last major tightening cycle. But this “conundrum” was largely the result of a collapse in the term premium (TP) from a level...