As a net oil importer, the recent rise in oil prices should eventually be a negative for the US economy, but the near-term impact may actually be positive. Mining investment is set to rebound in the...

The tightening of financial conditions this week provided a timely reminder of the downside risks to the economy this year and next. 2018 won’t necessarily be the slam dunk that many are assuming. The...

The Fed’s quantitative tightening has so far had little impact on the monetary aggregates, but the effects of rising short-term interest rates are becoming more visible. Meanwhile, after slowing...

Small firms remain optimistic about the outlook, but tighter labour market conditions are becoming an increasing constraint on expansion. That points to a pick-up in wage pressures and continued...