Our latest macroeconomic insights Global Markets Update Tweaking our forecast for Treasuries We are revising down our end-2022 and end-2023 forecasts for the 10-year US Treasury yield by 25bp each, to 2.00% and 2.25%, respectively. This compares to its current level of ~1.4%. 17th December 2021 · 3 mins read Global Markets Update We think EM earnings expectations are too optimistic In our view, analysts’ expectations for earnings across the emerging world over the next couple of years generally look a bit optimistic. And, since we don’t expect a major increase in valuations, we... 14th December 2021 · 4 mins read Asset Allocation Update US REITs may outperform ordinary US equities The recent resilience of US real estate investment trusts (REITs) seems to reflect both easing concerns about the Omicron variant and a net decline in long-dated Treasury yields. Although we expect... 13th December 2021 · 4 mins read Global Markets Update We think 10-year US inflation compensation will rise again Even though headline US CPI inflation may now have peaked, we still think long-term inflation compensation could rise a little over the next couple of years. 10th December 2021 · 4 mins read Pagination Previous … Page 140 Page 141 Page 142 Page 143 Current page 144 Page 145 Page 146 Page 147 Page 148 … Next
Global Markets Update Tweaking our forecast for Treasuries We are revising down our end-2022 and end-2023 forecasts for the 10-year US Treasury yield by 25bp each, to 2.00% and 2.25%, respectively. This compares to its current level of ~1.4%. 17th December 2021 · 3 mins read
Global Markets Update We think EM earnings expectations are too optimistic In our view, analysts’ expectations for earnings across the emerging world over the next couple of years generally look a bit optimistic. And, since we don’t expect a major increase in valuations, we... 14th December 2021 · 4 mins read
Asset Allocation Update US REITs may outperform ordinary US equities The recent resilience of US real estate investment trusts (REITs) seems to reflect both easing concerns about the Omicron variant and a net decline in long-dated Treasury yields. Although we expect... 13th December 2021 · 4 mins read
Global Markets Update We think 10-year US inflation compensation will rise again Even though headline US CPI inflation may now have peaked, we still think long-term inflation compensation could rise a little over the next couple of years. 10th December 2021 · 4 mins read
