Financial markets and many businesses have become more optimistic about the global economic outlook, but consumer confidence has typically remained weak. We expect households in the US and Europe in...

Preliminary survey data for January suggest the recovery in Chinese manufacturing is continuing and activity is picking up in the US. They also suggest the euro-zone recession may be easing, for now...

2013 has begun with more optimism about prospects for the global economy. The latest survey evidence suggests many countries ended 2012 with greater momentum than they had a few months earlier, but we...

Recent proposed changes to the monetary policy framework in several countries may signal slightly greater tolerance for inflation. But they do not mean the authorities are relaxing their grip on price...