July’s final manufacturing PMIs suggest that the world economy began the third quarter on a weak note. However, we expect global growth to hold up fairly well over the rest of the year as China’s...

Even though the US Fed is likely to begin raising interest rates in September, global monetary conditions are set to remain ultra-loose over the coming years as a number of other central banks ease...

Preliminary business surveys suggest that global growth weakened further in July, butwe do not think that the world economy is heading for another major downturn.

Fears of a prolonged period of falling prices in advanced economies have eased over the past few months as both inflation and inflation expectations have rebounded. Nevertheless, the conditions under...