We estimate that global GDP growth will slow to around 2½% this year, taking into account ourassessment of China’s actual growth rate. However, the world economy should recover in 2016 asactivity in...

The recent turbulence in equity markets has highlighted how vulnerable global investor sentiment is to developments in China, but the risks to the world economy are smaller than many assume. Although...

The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement which was announced today may not see the light of day for some years. Assuming, however, that it is eventually implemented, it should have large and...

Many have argued that China’s attempts to prevent its currency from weakening conflict with its efforts to keep domestic monetary conditions loose. But China’s monetary indicators still point to a...