Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia GDP (Q3 2023, Flash Estimate) Saudi Arabia’s flash GDP estimate showed that the recession deepened in Q3, with GDP contracting by 3.9% q/q, after the Kingdom implemented an additional voluntary 1mn bpd oil output cut and the non... 31st October 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Consumer Prices (Jul.) Egypt’s headline inflation hit a fresh record high of 36.5% y/y in July and, with a fresh devaluation of the pound on the cards in the coming months, it will remain elevated for some time. The Central... 10th August 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Consumer Prices (Jun. 2023) Egypt’s inflation rate rose from 32.7% y/y in May to a record high of 35.7% y/y in June, putting it even further above the Central Bank of Egypt’s (CBE’s) inflation target range. This adds to our view... 10th July 2023 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response PMIs (Jun. 2023) June’s batch of PMIs for the region improved almost entirely across the board and the strength in the Gulf states marked a stark contrast to the weakness among other emerging market regions. Elsewhere... 5th July 2023 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia Consumer Prices (May 2023) Saudi Arabia’s inflation rate rose a touch to 2.8% y/y in May, as an acceleration in non-food inflation more than offset the further slowdown in food inflation. We think the headline rate will resume... 15th June 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia Consumer Prices (Apr. 2023) Saudi Arabia’s inflation rate was unchanged at 2.7% y/y in April, as an increase in non-food inflation offset another drop in food inflation. We think the headline rate should resume its comedown in... 15th May 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Consumer Prices (Apr. 2023) Egypt’s inflation rate slowed from a near-five-year high of 32.7% y/y in March to 30.6% y/y in April, but it remains well above the Central Bank of Egypt’s (CBE’s) inflation target range and with the... 10th May 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response PMIs (Apr. 2023) April’s PMIs for the region showed that activity in private non-hydrocarbon sectors in the Gulf states started Q2 on a strong footing. What’s more, there were tentative signs that price pressures may... 3rd May 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia Inflation (Mar. 2023) Saudi Arabia’s headline inflation rate slowed from 3.0% y/y in February to 2.7% y/y in March as both food and non-food inflation decreased last month. We think that inflation will continue to ease... 13th April 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response PMIs (Apr. 2023) March’s batch of PMIs showed that activity in non-oil sectors in Qatar and Saudi Arabia continued their good start to the year, whereas in Egypt the near-term pain from higher inflation and a weaker... 4th April 2023 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Interest Rate Announcement (Mar. 2023) The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) announced that it raised interest rates by 200bp, taking the overnight deposit rate to 18.25%, this evening in a much-needed decision. While this is clearly a positive... 30th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia Consumer Prices (Feb. 2023) Saudi Arabia’s headline inflation rate slowed to 3.0% y/y in February on the back of an easing of both food and non-food inflation. We think that this marks the start of a gradual easing in inflation... 15th March 2023 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Consumer Prices (Feb. 2023) Egypt’s headline inflation rate jumped to 31.9% y/y in February, leaving it just shy of an all-time high and reinforcing our view that the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) will need to resume its... 9th March 2023 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia Consumer Prices (Jan. 2023) Saudi Arabia’s headline inflation rate nudged up from 3.3% y/y in December to 3.4% y/y in January, which came on the back of a small increase in non-food inflation. Inflation is now at or very close... 15th February 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Consumer Prices (Jan. 2023) Egypt’s headline inflation rate climbed from 21.3% y/y in December to 25.8% y/y in January, its fastest pace since November 2017, on the back of the recent large falls in the pound. This adds to our... 9th February 2023 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia GDP (Q4 2022, Flash Estimate) The flash estimate for Saudi Arabia’s economy showed GDP expanded by a solid 1.5% q/q in Q4, but year-on-year growth continued to soften and we expect this slowdown to continue into the early part of... 31st January 2023 · 2 mins read