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UK Forecast Forum January 2020

Life during the next phase of Brexit 08:30   Coffee & registration. 08:55   Introduction. Roger Bootle, Chairman 09:00   The shape of the UK’s future trade relationships. Paul Dales, Chief UK Economist · What relationship does the UK want and what will the EU agree to? · Can the UK please both the EU and the US? · What will it all mean for the economy? 09:15   Will the coming fiscal stimulus deliver much bang for its buck? Andrew Wishart, UK Economist · What size and kind of stimulus will the new fiscal rules allow? · What can we learn from the US fiscal stimulus? · Will it boost activity and inflation? 09:30   Will the next move in interest rates be up or down? Ruth Gregory, Senior UK Economist · How will the Bank juggle Brexit and looser fiscal policy? · Will it fear a resurgence in inflation? · What will it learn from the Fed’s recent experience? 09:45   What does the new political landscape mean for UK assets? Jonas Goltermann, Senior Markets Economist · How will sterling fare during the next phase of Brexit? · What will Brexit negotiations and a fiscal stimulus mean for gilts? · Will UK equities now catch up with the rest of the world? 10:00   Questions & discussion. Chaired by Roger Bootle 10:30   Close & Coffee.
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