Asset Allocation Chart Book Odds look stacked against risky assets Aside from the US stock market – which is being propped up by a handful of big name stocks and a serious dose of AI fever – most risky assets have struggled over the past month or so. We don’t think... 1st June 2023 · 12 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book 2023’s rally in US equities is looking a little thin The MSCI USA Index has not made much further headway on net in April so far. But it has at least held on to its strong gains from earlier in 2023, returning about 8% YTD. Part of that strength... 28th April 2023 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book Cash is king as “higher-for-longer” worries take hold While the ~0.3% return from US dollar cash between 31st January and 24th February was hardly impressive, cash nonetheless outperformed all of the other eighteen headline indices that we track. As data... 28th February 2023 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book We think the rally in risky assets is on borrowed time The broad-based rally in “risky” assets that got underway in Q4 of last year has continued in 2023 so far, with global equities, developed market (DM) REITs, corporate bonds and industrial metals all... 31st January 2023 · 12 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book Equities may take longer to turn a corner than bonds A renewed pullback in global equity markets and rise in bond yields in December is set to cap off a historically poor year for returns from both “risky” and “safe” asset classes. In fact, once the... 22nd December 2022 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book Outperformance of European equities may be short-lived Despite the rally that began in October continuing throughout November, US equities still underperformed their European counterparts in common-currency terms last month. Admittedly, exchange rate... 2nd December 2022 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book Bonds may soon cease to be the biggest threat to equities As has been the pattern for much of this year, a sharp rise in government bond yields in September heaped yet more downward pressure on stock markets, with the S&P 500 reaching its lowest... 30th September 2022 · 14 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book European assets face a more challenging backdrop While European prices for natural gas have retreated in recent days, the widely tracked TTF benchmark has still risen by more than 20% in August, and remains at a level about ten times higher than was... 31st August 2022 · 15 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book Mounting growth concerns leave few places to hide The period since the publication of our last Asset Allocation Chart Book on 31st May has brought yet more pain for investors. Between then and 28th June, the returns from all the headline indices that... 30th June 2022 · 12 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book Twin recoveries in Treasuries and US equities may not last For much of this year, expectations of tighter Fed policy have driven up Treasury yields, weighing on the US stock market’s valuation in the process. That has changed since we published our last Asset... 31st May 2022 · 12 mins read
DM Markets Chart Book Markets are creaking but not (yet) breaking So far, the sell-off across bond and equity markets this year has not triggered major signs of systemic risk. If that were to change, central banks would probably have to step in to prevent a... 20th May 2022 · 8 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book Stocks may lag bonds if commodities keep on surging Given that the past couple of months has seen the outbreak of war in Ukraine, surging commodity prices, growing concerns about inflation, and increasingly hawkish noises from the world’s major central... 31st March 2022 · 13 mins read
DM Markets Chart Book Some signs of strains in markets but no panic yet In light of the growing economic and financial fallout from the war in Ukraine, this publication takes stock of the various signs of stress across the global financial system. We intend to update the... 3rd March 2022 · 9 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book We doubt that 2022-23 will be as rewarding as 2021 2021 is on course to be a relatively good year for most investors. Admittedly, it has not been entirely without its casualties. Equities in China and much of Latin America, for example, have struggled... 21st December 2021 · 11 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book Omicron uncertainty provides a sense of déjà vu News of the spread of the Omicron variant has put COVID-19 back at the top of many investors’ list of concerns. While on a far smaller scale, the impact on markets so far has been qualitatively... 30th November 2021 · 12 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Book Developments in China shake up the outlook Three key developments in China over the past month or so are worth highlighting, as they feed into our broader asset allocation forecasts for the next couple of years. First, what started as a... 16th September 2021 · 13 mins read
