US Housing
This service provides detailed analysis and independent forecasts for the US housing market, with a particular emphasis on how developments in the economy alter the prospects for housing.
This service is relevant to all those professionals engaged in the US residential real estate market, including homebuilders, developers, investors, mortgage lenders, together with all agents and financial advisers working in the industry.
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Main Housing Forecasts |
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|
Latest |
2024 |
2025 |
Year Average |
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|
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
Q1 |
Q2f |
Q3 |
Q4 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
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|
30-Yr Mortgage Rate* |
(%) |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
6.0 |
5.6 |
6.9 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
6.0 |
|
|
Total Home Sales |
(Mill, Ann.) |
5.0 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.7 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
|
|
New |
(Mill, Ann.) |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
|
Existing |
(Mill, Ann.) |
4.4 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
|
|
Homes For Sale |
(Mill.) |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
|
|
New |
(Mill.) |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
|
Existing |
(SA, Mill.) |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
|
|
Single-Family Starts |
(000s, Ann.) |
1129 |
1056 |
1069 |
1083 |
1096 |
1110 |
1123 |
1137 |
1150 |
1004 |
943 |
1076 |
1130 |
1200 |
|
|
Case-Shiller Prices* |
(%y/y) |
6.0 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
7.5 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
|
|
Sources: Capital Economics, Refinitiv. * End period. |
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