17th January 2024 “In a few months’ time, the UK will have shaken off its tag as the global inflation laggard,” said Paul Dales, economist at the consultancy Capital Economics. View article
Bank now expects inflation to fall faster “Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics stressed that the below-target inflation projection implies that the “Bank thinks rates may need to fall a bit further than the market path it used... 10th May 2024 · The Times
For Clues on Why the BOE Hasn’t Cut Rates, Just Head to the Pub Pay growth in the hospitality sector is running at about 8% — higher than the national average — according to PAYE data analyzed by Capital Economics. Firms are competing over a shrinking talent pool... 7th May 2024 · Bloomberg
UK inflation: From too high, to too low? Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, concurs: “Our view is that average earnings growth slips to around 2 per cent, but then ‘settles’ around 3.5 per cent. The latter is consistent... 2nd May 2024 · Financial Times