Middle East & North Africa Economics
This service offers in-depth economic analysis of growth, inflation, trade, currency and interest rate trends and independent market forecasts for 12 MENA states: Saudi Arabia, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Algeria, Qatar, Kuwait, Morocco, Oman, Tunisia, Lebanon, Jordan and Bahrain.
The subscription to this service includes 4-5 publications a week, access to our online research archive and our economists, and the opportunity to attend our conferences, forums and webinars.
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Key Research on Tensions in the Middle East
The Iran drone strike & the oil market implications |
Spillovers on non-Gulf economies |
The implications of restored Saudi-Iran ties |
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There are clearly many ways in which Iran-Israel tensions could escalate. But the risk that a conflict involving Iran disrupts oil production in the Gulf is lower than it was in 2018/19. Accordingly, the upside risk to oil prices and global inflation is smaller. |
Spillovers of the conflict are affecting key shipping routes and deterring tourism, which could weigh more heavily on non-Gulf economies like Egypt and Jordan. |
China-brokered a restoration of diplomatic ties between Saudi Arabia and Iran last year, which has changed the complexion of regional tensions for the better. But there are still ways to go. |
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All Middle East & North Africa Coverage
Featured Economists
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James Swanston
Middle East and North Africa Economist
James is an Economist in our Emerging Markets team at Capital Economics, specialising in coverage of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). James joined Capital Economics in 2017 and has covered MENA since 2019, in which time his research has included deep dives into the debts of Dubai's government related-entities and the risks facing the Egyptian pound. James is frequently quoted in global and local media, including in the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, Reuters, and Arab News. James holds a BSc in Economics from the University of Bath and an MSc in Economic History from the London School of Economics and Political Science where his research focused on the historical role of the IMF in Egypt.
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Jason Tuvey
Deputy Chief Emerging Markets Economist
Jason Tuvey is our Deputy Chief Emerging Markets Economist, working closely with William Jackson to oversee our coverage of Emerging Europe, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa. Jason joined Capital Economics in 2012 and has developed a strong track record in that time. He currently produces our day-to-day research on Mexico and, before that, established himself as one of the world’s foremost analysts of Turkey’s economy and financial markets, winning multiple forecast accuracy awards from Refinitiv, Focus Economics and Consensus Economics. Jason regularly engages with clients to deliver our latest insights on developments in the emerging world. Jason’s research has spanned a wide variety of topics, including debt restructuring talks in Sub-Saharan Africa, economic reforms in Saudi Arabia and the implications of unorthodox policymaking in Turkey. Jason regularly presents to clients and has been widely quoted by the world’s leading media organisations, including the Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg. He holds a degree in Economics from the University of Bath.