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Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

US Housing Market Focus

US Housing Market Focus

How much further will US house prices fall?

 

 

Houses are still substantially over-valued even though prices have already fallen by around 10% on

the Case-Shiller national index

 

.

An additional decline of between 10% and 15% this year would

put house prices back in line with the fundamentals.

 

However, in a market driven by fear and panic,

there is only a slim chance that house prices will stop falling once the price-to-rent or price-toincome

ratios return to their historical averages.

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