Cookies on the
Capital Economics
Website
We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. Click continue to confirm that you are happy to continue to receive cookies on the Capital Economics website. Alternatively, if you would like to, you can change your cookie settings.

Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

Long-term issues

Articles
Search by region:
US Economics > US Economics Focus — Productivity growth held back by structural problemsEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Weekly — Is Jokowi the man to get Indonesia back on track?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — IMF deal brings Ukraine back from the brinkEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Focus — Can the Philippines become a manufacturing powerhouse?Canada Economics > Canada Economics Weekly — Demographics to weigh on economic growth and interest ratesChina Economics > China Economics Update — Can private investment shake-up China's state sector?China Economics > China Economics Focus — How significant are China’s Third Plenum reforms?This article appears in multiple services — News on productivity may brighten this yearChina Economics > China Economics Update — Shrinking workforce not a major growth riskChina Economics > China Economics Update — Why the hukou matters less than many think
China Economics > China Economics Update — Land reform set to boost rural incomesUS Economics > US Economics Focus — Income inequality is not holding the economy backThis article appears in multiple services — Ageing population need not hit workforce growth too hardUS Economics > US Economics Update — America’s daunting long-term debt problemJapan Economics > Japan Economics Update — Raising the official retirement age may have little impactEmerging Markets Economics > Emerging Markets Economics Focus — What does the “services revolution” mean for EMs?China Economics > China Economics Update — China embraces reform – and slower growthLatin America Economics > Latin America Update — Colombian industry still has a competitiveness problemUK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Is the UK turning Japanese?China Economics > China Watch — Shrinking workforce shouldn’t matter much to investors
UK Consumer > UK Consumer Focus — Opportunities and challenges from the "grey pound"Emerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Update — Singapore will need to settle for slower growthEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Update — Can Australia cope as its mining boom cools?Emerging Markets Economics > Emerging Markets Economics Focus — Can emerging economies get rich from commodities?Emerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Weekly — ASEAN to outperform over the next decadeGlobal Economics > Global Economics Focus — Global growth prospects beyond 2020Africa Economics > Africa Economics Update — East African energy boom comes with risksChina Economics > China Economics Update — China's exporters still shrugging off fast-rising wagesChina Economics > China Economics Update — New line-up dents but doesn’t derail hopes of reformUK Cities & Regions > UK Cities & Regions Update — Heseltine Review is not about to change regional prospects
China Economics > China Watch — Who will lead China?Africa Economics > Africa Economics Update — Nigerian economy could be region’s largest by 2014Emerging Markets Economics > Emerging Markets Economics Update — Why China & Brazil must become more alikeUK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Is the output gap a crack or a chasm?US Economics > US Economics Update — US economic growth may be far from overEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Update — Will the reform boost for Indian markets last?Middle East & North Africa Economics > Middle East Economic Updates — Jordan: a new government, but no chance of economic reformsEmerging Markets Economics > Emerging Markets Economics Update — Are emerging markets losing their competitive edge?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — Chávez re-election to deepen Venezuela’s economic problemsEuropean Economics > European Economics Update — Budget marks a small step forward for Greece
China Economics > China Economics Update — Is slower growth here to stay?Emerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Update — Indian government bites the bullet on reformsJapan Economics > Japan Economics Weekly — Can Japan cope without nuclear power?Africa Economics > Africa Watch — Positive medium-term outlook despite risksChina Economics > China Watch — Glimmers of reform ahead of leadership handoverAfrica Economics > Africa Economics Focus — South Africa set to remain a regional underperformerEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Focus — Demographics will not determine Asia’s futureEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Update — Is Malaysia stuck in a middle-income trap?UK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Do recessions damage supply? Some historical evidenceUK Cities & Regions > UK Cities & Regions Update — Birmingham & the West Midlands limited by low skill levels
Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — Brazil takes a (small) step in the right directionMiddle East & North Africa Economics > Middle East Economic Updates — IMF approves funding for Morocco and JordanEuropean Economics > European Economics Focus — How large a devaluation do the peripheral economies need?Canada Economics > Canada Data Response — GDP by Industry (Apr.)UK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Fiscal challenges to remain beyond current squeezeEmerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — Hungarian government still too sanguine on IMF dealLatin America Economics > Latin America Update — Balanced growth suggests Mexico will continue to outperformEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Weekly — Burma - Asian tiger or basket case?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — Ukraine is running out of optionsEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Update — How have last year's natural disasters affected Asia?
European Economics > European Economics Update — Greece still in a "debt trap"Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — Hungary concedes ground to the EC, but barriers still lie aheadMiddle East & North Africa Economics > Middle East Economic Outlook — 'Arab Spring' puts the focus on near-term divergenceGlobal Economics > Global Economics Update — Could a Greek default be another Lehman's moment?Middle East & North Africa Economics > Middle East Economic Updates — Syria: A prolonged crisis is on the cardsMiddle East & North Africa Economics > Middle East Economic Updates — IMF will need to address Egypt's external funding problemsEmerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Focus — The economic consequences of Russia's unrestEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Update — Kim Jong-il's death adds to Korean uncertaintyChina Economics > China Economics Update — Global slowdown will expose failure to boost consumptionChina Economics > China Economics Update — Policymakers embrace pro-growth stance
Japan Economics > Japan Economics Focus — Will Japan be the next domino to fall?European Economics > European Economics Focus — How and when will the euro-zone break up?European Economics > European Economics Weekly — Break-up worries finally hitting the euroMiddle East & North Africa Economics > Middle East Economic Updates — Egypt election concerns add to already high financing risksChina Economics > China Chart Book — Policy starts to turnEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Weekly — Recent free-trade initiatives are over-hypedEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Weekly — Assessing the fallout from Thailand's flood disasterGlobal Economics > Global Economics Update — Kicking the Cannes down the roadGlobal Economics > Global Economics Update — Will the G20 achieve anything in Cannes?European Economics > European Economics Update — Greek referendum throws whole rescue plan into doubt
Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — Russia: WTO gains depend on wider economic reformThis article appears in multiple services — Rebalancing knocked off courseGlobal Economics > Global Economics Focus — Does a sovereign debt crisis always cause a financial crisis?This article appears in multiple services — Regional Monitor (Sep.)European Economics > European Economics Update — Greek budget does not eliminate near-term default risksMiddle East & North Africa Economics > Middle East Economic Updates — Increasing female participation in Saudi could boost growthEmerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Update — Asia growth forecasts cut amid weak global outlookEmerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Focus — Lessons from the Fall of the WallJapan Economics > Japan Economics Update — Old economic problems for a new leaderEuropean Economics > European Economics Update — Is Ireland over the worst?
China Economics > China Economics Update — How could China help the rest of the world?This article appears in multiple services — Is the UK on the ratings hit-list?European Economics > European Economics Update — Can the new rescue package solve Greece’s problems?This article appears in multiple services — Can Asia avoid the middle-income trap?Emerging Asia Economics > Emerging Asia Economics Update — Can high growth in India survive the state sector problems?This article appears in multiple services — Pension funds vulnerable to renewed economic slowdownChina Economics > China Economics Update — How many young workers are there?Latin America Economics > Latin America Focus — Clinging to the coattails of China?This article appears in multiple services — As many Eastern Europeans going as comingUK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Spare capacity could yet turn inflation negative
US Economics > US Economics Focus — Fall in potential growth unlikely to force Fed's handUS Economics > US Economics Focus — The US could take years to recover from its debt hangoverEuropean Economics > European Economics Focus — Italy: is something moving under the surface?This article appears in multiple services — The next decade (Q2 2009)Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Focus — Time to tear up the growth model?UK Consumer > UK Consumer Focus — How to spot a recovery – the evidence from past recessionsThis article appears in multiple services — Falling immigration won't stop unemployment risingUK Consumer > UK Consumer Update — Falling immigration won't stop unemployment risingUK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Lower trend growth won’t stop inflation fallingThis article appears in multiple services — Productivity slowdown won’t stop employment falling
Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Focus — Romania: a 21st century manufacturing hub?This article appears in multiple services — Further signs that immigration has peakedUK Consumer > UK Consumer Update — Further signs that immigration has peakedUK Consumer > UK Consumer Update — Wide wage differentials won't stop migration fallingThis article appears in multiple services — Mind the gap (Q2 2008)This article appears in multiple services — Migrant flows - the UK’s loss is Poland’s gainEuropean Economics > European Economics Focus — Is stronger euro-zone productivity growth here to stay?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Focus — Turkey: the end of a golden era?UK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Influx of migrants to widen current account deficitEmerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Focus — Labour market reform critical to Polish prospects
European Economics > European Economics Focus — Europe's demographic time bombThis article appears in multiple services — The shape of things to come – The UK economy over the next 20 years (Q2 2007)UK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Net migration has probably peakedUK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Immigration to keep wage pressures subduedThis article appears in multiple services — Getting Older - the economic consequences of an ageing population (Q3 05)UK Economics > UK Economics Focus — Productivity boost around the corner