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Markets underestimating Riksbank rate rises

As today’s minutes show few signs that policymakers are concerned about the economy overheating, we have pushed back our forecast for a rate rise to September 2018. But we still expect rates to be increased at a faster pace than the Riksbank or markets expect. And since we forecast inflation to be higher than the Riksbank anticipates ahead of its December meeting, we do not expect it to extend QE.

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