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Central European exports, PMI weakness & Polish stimulus

The breakdown of the Central European Q4 GDP figures released this week showed that the surprisingly strong growth rates were driven by a rebound in exports, which appears to be related to a one-off bounce in the auto sector. The manufacturing PMIs for February point to much slower growth in the region’s manufacturing sectors in early 2019. The one crumb of comfort is that growth in other sectors seem to be holding up well and, in Poland at least, this will be further supported by recently - announced fiscal stimulus.

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