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Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

Middle East Watch

Monthly summary of our views on major talking points, along with previews of key upcoming data and events.

Sample - Tunisian elections may prove to be the spur for reform

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Articles
Eqyptian pound has further to fallOptimism over opening up of Saudi’s stock market seems overdoneRecovery in oil prices doesn’t alter outlook for region’s oil producersAssessing the impact of a potential nuclear deal with IranWhat did we take away from Egypt’s investor conference?Lower oil prices start to weigh on FX reserves in the GulfHow the fall in oil prices will benefit North AfricaSaudi Arabia’s migrant crackdown – one year onTunisian elections may prove to be the spur for reformIs Dubai now over its debt problems?
Weaker Saudi credit growth could be here to stayQatar: region’s best performer, but risks risingWhy we’re relatively downbeat on the Saudi economyWhat might an al-Sisi presidency hold in store for Egypt’s economy?Algerian elections unlikely to herald major reformsA look ahead to Egypt’s presidential electionIs Tunisia really on the path to recovery?Lebanon's fiscal position could go from bad to worseTaking stock of Saudi Arabia’s migrant crackdownGulf’s non-oil growth fuelled by hydrocarbons
Egypt’s tourism sector bears the brunt of the unrestWhat next for the Egyptian pound?Egypt’s economy struggling even before the “second revolution”How sustainable is the Gulf’s fiscal splurge?What would the tapering of QE mean for the MENA region?Oil-rich economies outperformance not ending, for now at leastResilient Gulf unlikely to boost resource-poor economiesEgypt: the pound's stabilisation comes at a priceSluggish Egyptian economy reduces prospect of IMF dealSaudi stimulus to help economy grow at healthy pace
Gulf overheating fears fail to materialiseExternal financing continues to trouble resource-poor countriesEgypt and the thorny issue of devaluationCan the Gulf’s bond rally last?What do higher commodity prices mean for the Arab world?Egypt: economy could make or break the new president’s tenureBanks in the Gulf are well placed to weather the stormGrowing risk of fiscal crises in the oil-poor Arab countriesWhat does our new oil price forecast mean for the Gulf?North Africa’s new parliaments at risk of losing sight of economy
The 'Arab Spring' one year onOil-importers will have no room for fiscal manoeuvre in 2012Egypt: teetering on the edge of a full-blown economic crisisEmployment schemes in the GCC: silver bullet or damp squib?IMF aid crucial to heading off an external financing crisisAre the Gulf States at risk from their exposure to the US?