Past Events

Events Archive

Emerging Markets Forecast Forum

13 February, 2019
Royal Automobile Club, London

In our EM Forecast Forum, we considered the near-term and longer-term economic outlook for the emerging world, as well as the prospects for financial markets. We concluded that 2019 is likely to be marked by an unusually broad-based slowdown, accompanied by falls in most asset prices. We also hold a relatively downbeat view on longer-term prospects for EMs, particularly China.

  • How bad is the outlook for China?

    Mark Williams, our Chief Asia Economist, discusses the following:

    • What is behind the slowdown?
    • Will stimulus turn it around?
    • Has the long-run outlook improved?

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  • Are emerging economies prepared for another downturn?

    William Jackson, our Chief Emerging Markets Economist, discusses the following:

    • The outlook for the other three BRIC economies.
    • The implications of slower global growth.
    • The response by EM central banks.

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  • Will EMs outperform in the long run?

    Jason Tuvey, our Senior Emerging Markets Economist, discusses the following:

    • A recap of the performance of EMs over the past 20 years.
    • What will drive EM growth in the coming decades?
    • How will the emerging world shape up in 2040?

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  • What are the implications for EM financial markets?

    Oliver Jones, our Markets Economist, discusses the following:

    • Where we are now and the outlook for the global economy.
    • The near-term prospects for EM bonds, equities and currencies.
    • Long-term opportunities and risks.

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