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Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

European Economics Weekly

European Economics Weekly

France won't stay in the lead for long

Q4’s GDP figures revealed that France was one of the few euro-zone economies to expand at the end of last year. But prospects for French exports are marred by fairly weak competitiveness and a reliance on trade within the euro-zone while the previous consumer recovery has already stalled. And with the banking sector still highly exposed to Italy and the peripheral economies, we see France losing its lead before long.

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