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Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

European Commercial Property Updates

Short, timely, one page notes which highlight important economic, financial market or property specific developments and which draw out the implications for commercial property investment and occupier markets across Europe.

Sample - Increased use of rental incentives to set back office rent recovery

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How healthy is the outlook for the Czech investment market?Is the office occupier market in Brussels about to turn a corner?Is a downturn looming for Turkish retail property?Are Stockholm retail rents poised to take-off again?Is Portugal the next Ireland?Will the recent falls in euro-zone yields continue this year?Central Europe – where are the prospects for industrial rents brightest?How good is the outlook for Copenhagen property?Time to reassess the outlook for peripheral property yields?Where next for Russian property yields?
Real estate equities point to period of weakness in euro-zone valuesAre investors starting to shun Paris?Warsaw office rental downturn ending, but recovery still some way offSubdued sentiment to hold back European property valuesNext move in Spanish office vacancy rates likely to be downwardsAnother good year in store for European logistics investment volumesCould Hungary's investment market be on the cusp of recovery?Copenhagen industrial market set to outperformFurther falls likely in Amsterdam's structurally high vacancy rateAre Norwegian property values poised to spike again?
How long can the surge in Irish property values last?Is the RICS survey right about property prospects in Emerging Europe?Investment market recovery not warranted by occupier fundamentalsIs the dip in Prague office rents the start of a softer trend?Investment case for Italy weaker than SpainLow interest rates supportive of Stockholm office values... for nowIs Polish property at a turning point?German office occupier demand set to strengthenPortugal's commercial property market is still a risky betShould we worry about Turkey’s shopping centre pipeline?
Will Spanish property yields close the gap with core markets?Are opportunities emerging in European non-prime property?Are Dutch property markets finally responding to the weak economy?What does the end of Ireland’s recession mean for Dublin property?Still a long way to go for Italian and Dutch GOEF liquidationsWhat next for French and German capital values?Bumpy path ahead for Turkish retail yieldsIs industrial property in Prague poised to outperform?What can we glean from regional unemployment data in the euro-zone?Euro-zone retail occupier markets strengthening, but values still at risk
What is the outlook for German office vacancy rates?Could falls in Brussels office yields be sustained?Warsaw office market rental downturn has a little further to runReturning confidence in the Italian property market prematureWhere next for euro-zone property yields?When will office rents in Milan and Paris turn the corner?Are euro-zone retail rental values at a turning point?Falls in Brussels office yields look unsustainableSwiss occupier markets: what do the latest macro data tell us?Could the gap between yields in Prague and Warsaw narrow?
German logistics capital values set to disappointRussian property: is the best now behind us?Ireland – a false dawn for property?Which markets are most at risk from the rise in bond yields?French logistics market to hold up better than office or retailIs it possible that Spanish property is now a good bet?How sustainable are Stockholm office yields?Hopes that CEE investment had turned a corner are dashedPolitical instability a risk to Turkey's otherwise bright property outlookAre Czech industrial rents about to pick up?
What is the outlook for Brussels retail property?Will lower interest rates halt the rise in Budapest property yields?Artificially low Zurich office yields set to riseHow vulnerable are German office rents to the slowdown?Czech office rental forecast risks move slightly to the upsideRICS survey too optimistic about Spanish investment marketHave office property values reached a floor in Athens and Dublin?First signs that Amsterdam retail rents will not defy gravity foreverWhat is the outlook for Budapest office rents?CEE property investment data: a mixture of good and bad news
How will FX rates influence Nordic and Swiss property values?When will euro-zone logistics rental values find a floor?French commercial property outlook darkensIncreased use of rental incentives to set back office rent recoveryPolish retail rental values set to remain under pressureTurkish property still a good bet, despite external vulnerabilitiesWhere next for Italian property yields?Restrained development to limit rises in office vacancy rates... mostlyHave the risks of a fall in Prague retail rents receded?Falls in Swedish property values still more likely than not
Economic fundamentals point to softening German investment marketShould office and retail yields in Oslo be lower?Four reasons not to get carried away by better real estate equity pricesSurveyors sound alarm bells for French and Dutch rentsHow concerning for property is the Russian economic slowdown?Could the spread between yields in Paris and Munich reverse sign?Risks to the Warsaw office rental outlook are buildingHas European property investment turned a corner?Spanish industrial rents: manufacturing to fall further behind logisticsInvestor's preference for retail over office in Vienna is likely to persist
Emerging European property markets won't survive 2013 unscathedEuro-zone commercial property faces weak start to the yearCopenhagen retail yields to resume upwards driftWill office rental values in Rome fall further than Milan?Further falls in European property investment likely in 2013Will retail rents in Amsterdam and Helsinki continue to trend up?Industrial yields in Prague and Budapest have further to riseWill the Oslo-Stockholm all-property yield differential widen?Will core market property yields be immune to the downturn?Is retail property in Brussels overpriced?
Will Turkey's sovereign debt upgrade lower property yields?Is the RICS survey too gloomy about occupier demand in France?Could Romanian retail be a good medium-term bet?Will German property rents be immune to the downturn?Bank deleveraging to prompt rise in distressed property salesAre commercial property yields in Russia set to rise?What is the outlook for retail rents in Stockholm?Are commercial property investment volumes in CEE set to recover?Will industrial rental value growth in Zurich outpace Geneva?Fundamentals still point to rising property yields in Paris
Are we too gloomy on the outlook for Spanish retail rents?Just how weak are Greek property markets?Is Warsaw's office market facing a period of excess supply?Cheap relative rents driving Frankfurt retail occupier appealAmsterdam headline office rents still insulated by incentivesWhat is the outlook for Istanbul retail rents?Will office take-up continue to rise in Amsterdam and Brussels?Will Prague retail rents continue to rise?Still room for Budapest office yields to underperformHas the outlook for Russian property returns worsened?
Will Danish industrial property continue to underperform?What is the outlook for Dutch retail property?Where will Spanish and Italian property yields peak?Are low retail property yields in Brussels justified?Can upward momentum in Moscow office rents reignite?Industrial rent outlook is weakest in Hungary and Czech RepublicIs the office development pipeline still a risk to the Paris rental outlook?Despite safe-haven status, Swiss property yields likely to riseFall in Bund yields does not change weak property price outlookInvestment case for Italian retail has weakened further
Is Poland a “core” property market?Most European office markets to suffer drop in take-upEC survey suggests euro-zone office rental value forecasts on trackFrench REIT valuations reflect downside property risksAre shopping centre development pipelines in CEE too large?Are we too downbeat on Norwegian retail rental values?Office rents in Madrid likely to underperform relative to BarcelonaLower office take-up volumes in store for GermanyCEE industrial rental value outlook brightest in Russia and TurkeyA brighter outlook for Oslo office rents?
Belgium v the Netherlands: where is the rental value outlook best?GOEF liquidations dampen medium-term European property outlookWill the rally in Bucharest office yields be reversed?RICS Global Survey too upbeat on Polish and Czech rental valuesIs the Q1 fall in all-property capital values a sign of what’s to come?Negative outlook for Swiss office rentsAre real estate equities understating the risks for 2012?Paris property yields looking vulnerable to an economic downturnDownside risks to Dublin office rental value outlook increaseNo improvement in euro-zone industrial rental value outlook