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Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

European Commercial Property Updates

Short, timely, one page notes which highlight important economic, financial market or property specific developments and which draw out the implications for commercial property investment and occupier markets across Europe.

Sample - Falling vacancy points to Brussels industrial rental growth

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Cost pressures set to keep German logistics rental value growth subduedHow vulnerable are Emerging European property markets to a Grexit?How might property markets respond if and when Grexit occurs?Hungarian retail rents unlikely to take-offSwiss property to produce the lowest total returns in next five yearsWhich sector offers the best short-term rental prospects?Oil sector slowdown means Oslo office rental growth will disappointEuro-zone office rental values set to grow at strongest rate since 2008Non-European investors will continue to determine pricing dynamicsOffice rents in Prague and Warsaw to buck the positive trend in 2015
Divergence between capital and rental values set to widenHungarian property capital values ready for lift-offEuro-zone office rental values to show further steady growthZurich and Geneva office rental values set for further fallsIncreased sentiment set to support further property investment growthStockholm offices capital growth to reach double figures this yearIs Danish industrial still the best opportunity in the Nordic region?Low vacancy rates set to support office rental growth in GermanyImproving consumer fundamentals positive for CE retail propertyWill an Italian economic recovery boost commercial property in 2015?
German logistics capital value growth unlikely to outperformWill weak French growth hold back property returns?Will stronger industrial output drive CE industrial rental growth?Are we overestimating the scope for retail rental growth in Dublin?Bucharest industrial capital values set for strong growthWill consumer optimism translate into stronger retail rental growth?Will QE provide a boost to Frankfurt office occupier demand?Dutch retail rents set to turn a corner in 2015Nordic retail set for solid growth, but Finland will disappointMadrid all-property yields set to stay below those in Milan
Growing divergence in property performance within HelsinkiDublin set to see further strong office rental growth in 2015Can Brussels offices finally stage a rental recovery?Are we overestimating the scope for office yield compression?Could Norwegian property go from hero to zero in 2015?How much further will Moscow rental values fall?ECB QE to drive European commercial property yields lower stillWhat might Poland’s economic challenges mean for property?How will the Swiss franc’s appreciation affect property?Lower oil prices unlikely to drive French retail recovery in 2015
How will German logistics occupier demand fare this year?Italian logistics rental values unlikely to rebound this yearAre euro-zone property markets already looking weaker in 2015?Can Prague retail rental growth pick up steam?What’s the outlook for peripheral retail rental values?Subdued German occupier demand offset by tight supplyHow low will Copenhagen property yields fall this time around?What will lower Bund yields mean for property?New retail supply will dampen rental growth in the Polish regionsMilan office vacancy rate set to rise further
Low office development supports Vienna rental valuesMoscow capital values have further to fallGerman office occupier market stronger than take-up data suggestFalling vacancy points to Brussels industrial rental growthItalian investment volumes set to grow after bank stress testsHow vulnerable is non-core logistics property to risk aversion?Could rising risk aversion take the steam out of commercial property?What impact will lower oil prices have on Norway’s property markets?Peripheral industrial property values look set to outperformWhere next for prime office yields in Switzerland?
Is now the time to be buying Spanish industrial assets?When will Prague office rents stabilise?What impact will Turkey’s slowdown have on its retail sector?What impact will weak economic growth have on Italian retail rents?Which sector offers the best prospects in the Netherlands?Do German office markets face an impending oversupply risk?What impact will a weak Finnish economy have on Helsinki office rents?Have Stockholm industrial rental values reached a cyclical high?Is the current low level of Brussels retail yields sustainable?Where next for industrial rents in Hungary?
Has the best passed for Portuguese property returns?Weak economic data suggest euro-zone rental upturn not imminentWill office rental value growth in Barcelona outpace Madrid?When will CEE office occupier demand take off?Are rapid gains in Oslo retail rents underpinned by fundamentals?Will Paris’ occupier demand outperformance last?What next for Dutch office rents?Rental growth in Warsaw and Krakow set to boost retail capital valuesWhat explains the weakness of Belgian and Italian investment?A positive outlook for Dublin retail property
CEE logistics capital values look set to riseHow has employment in the main German cities been faring?Will France’s large shopping centre pipeline put pressure on rents?Swiss office rental value correction may not be overCould improved transparency drive yield compression?Is Budapest retail property poised to take off?What is the outlook for Oslo retail rents?Lisbon office rental values will not see a Dublin-style reboundYield compression to boost Paris industrial property valuesWhy hasn’t Bucharest property benefitted from Romania’s recovery?
Germany's share of total property investment unlikely to fall this yearA slowdown in Turkish spending should keep a lid on retail rentsLow office and retail yields in Vienna justified for nowAre Milan office rents poised to recover?Should a slowdown in euro-zone production worry logistics investors?How much momentum is there in euro-zone property yields?What does high Czech consumer confidence imply for retail property?What’s the outlook for Dutch industrial property?Is the outperformance of Dublin’s office market coming to an end?Italian office capital values look set to fall further
When will Copenhagen industrial yields start to move down?What explains falls in Swiss office rental values?How long will Brussels retail rents remain on hold?What do jobs data imply for the peripheral occupier markets?Where next for Stockholm office yields?Will the recent outperformance of Frankfurt office rents continue?What does the strong outlook for Poland imply for property values?What does buoyant Hungarian sentiment imply for property?What effect will the weaker krone have on Oslo industrial rents?How healthy is the outlook for the Czech investment market?
Is the office occupier market in Brussels about to turn a corner?Is a downturn looming for Turkish retail property?Are Stockholm retail rents poised to take-off again?Is Portugal the next Ireland?Will the recent falls in euro-zone yields continue this year?Central Europe – where are the prospects for industrial rents brightest?How good is the outlook for Copenhagen property?Time to reassess the outlook for peripheral property yields?Where next for Russian property yields?Real estate equities point to period of weakness in euro-zone values
Are investors starting to shun Paris?Warsaw office rental downturn ending, but recovery still some way offSubdued sentiment to hold back European property valuesNext move in Spanish office vacancy rates likely to be downwardsAnother good year in store for European logistics investment volumesCould Hungary's investment market be on the cusp of recovery?Copenhagen industrial market set to outperformFurther falls likely in Amsterdam's structurally high vacancy rateAre Norwegian property values poised to spike again?How long can the surge in Irish property values last?
Is the RICS survey right about property prospects in Emerging Europe?Investment market recovery not warranted by occupier fundamentalsIs the dip in Prague office rents the start of a softer trend?Investment case for Italy weaker than SpainLow interest rates supportive of Stockholm office values... for nowIs Polish property at a turning point?German office occupier demand set to strengthenPortugal's commercial property market is still a risky betShould we worry about Turkey’s shopping centre pipeline?Will Spanish property yields close the gap with core markets?
Are opportunities emerging in European non-prime property?Are Dutch property markets finally responding to the weak economy?What does the end of Ireland’s recession mean for Dublin property?Still a long way to go for Italian and Dutch GOEF liquidationsWhat next for French and German capital values?Bumpy path ahead for Turkish retail yieldsIs industrial property in Prague poised to outperform?What can we glean from regional unemployment data in the euro-zone?Euro-zone retail occupier markets strengthening, but values still at riskWhat is the outlook for German office vacancy rates?