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Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

Emerging Asia Economics Weekly

Aims to give the reader a snapshot view of both the current situation and the week ahead. It includes previews and forecasts of forthcoming events and data releases.

Sample - How much slack is left in the NIEs?

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Articles
Major challenges await Singapore after the electionAsia to recover from disappointing second quarterWhy comparisons with the Asian financial crisis are wrongAnother look at Asia’s exposure to ChinaSingapore at 50: facing life after the miracleTime to worry about currency weakness?Taiwan-China trade agreements are not a big dealWhat to expect from Asia in 2017Property price bubbles a threatIs there an end in sight to the export slowdown?
Ringgit weakness to deter policy loosening in MalaysiaIndonesia heading in the wrong directionAsia’s credit slowdown has not eliminated risksWhat would the Philippines look like without Aquino?Asian growth eases in Q1 despite lower oil pricesChinese tourists to the rescue?Asia’s rate cutting cycle is nearing an endAsia’s exports should recover from weak Q1How fragile is Malaysia?A manufacturing migration?
Demographics are not destiny in the PhilippinesSingapore looks set for more policy looseningAIIB – what is all the fuss about?Deflation of Thailand’s credit bubble has further to runTaiwan is unlikely to join Asia's rate-cutting cycleRupiah weakness is unlikely to revive Indonesia’s economyWhat would a property price collapse mean for Taiwan?Where next for Indonesia’s current account?No sign of improvement in Asian growthKorea’s housing market recovery to continue
Will more of Asia's central banks join the loosening cycle?Reasons to be optimistic about Korea’s economy in 2015Does Singapore’s currency regime still suit its needs?Will falling oil prices push Emerging Asia into deflation?What would a Grexit mean for Asia?What to expect in Asia in 2015How did our 2014 forecasts stack up?How much will Asia benefit from falling oil prices?Where could we see an upside surprise next year?How big a threat is deflation?
China-Korea free trade deal is not a game changerHow big a threat is the weak yen to Korea?How much slack is left in the NIEs?Falling commodity prices to keep Asian inflation lowIndonesia’s new president has his work cut outHow our forecasts differ from consensus and the IMFWhat next for monetary policy in Singapore?Which countries stand to gain most from lower oil prices?Credit growth in Emerging Asia still unsustainableStrong jobs figure does not alter the picture for Australia
Property price bubbles a key riskAsian growth could finally be set for a pick-upMr Modi’s "first 100 days" prove underwhelmingAsian inflation likely to stay subduedDoes Korea need lower interest rates?Consumer spending in Emerging Asia set for recoveryFuel subsidy reform an early test for Indonesia’s JokowiHow much do commodities matter to Malaysia?Singapore manufacturing will continue to struggleWhat to expect from Indonesia’s election?
Korea will struggle to overcome its demographic dragDiesel price deregulation an early test for Modi in IndiaHow will Emerging Asia fare over the next decade?Can manufacturing revive growth in India and Indonesia?South East Asia losing its shineIs Emerging Asia missing out on the global recovery?Is a credit bubble building in the Philippines?Are expectations too high for Modi’s India?Rate hikes coming soon in the Philippines and MalaysiaSlower growth in China won’t derail Asia’s export recovery
What to expect from Asia’s Q1 GDP dataFour risks to watch out for in Emerging AsiaIs Jokowi the man to get Indonesia back on track?Export outperformance won't reignite Vietnam's economyIs Emerging Asia about to run into structural constraints?Inflation in Emerging Asia to remain subduedRate hikes coming in New ZealandExport recovery to support growth in AsiaIndia and Indonesia – not so fragile?Prolonged political crisis holding back growth in Thailand
Inflation to fall in Indonesia despite currency weaknessFive reasons to be positive about the PhilippinesIndian inflation subsides as RBI considers policy reformIs Singapore really the next Iceland?Asia’s export recovery to gain momentumElections in 2014 – what they mean for AsiaWhat to expect from Asia in 2014Our key calls for 2013: how did they stack up?Inflation rising, but scope for policy to remain looseGrowth in Asia has picked up, but risks lie ahead
China's Third Plenum reforms - what they mean for AsiaMalaysia set to maintain faster growth rateWhen India sneezes...Australia rate cuts risk re-inflating housing marketWeak domestic demand to hold back growth in KoreaSouth East Asia's struggles set to continue next yearAsian export prospects looking upCan Asia develop through services alone?Time to worry about property price bubbles in Asia?India’s Reserve Bank changes tack
Five years after Lehmans: how has Asia changed?Falling current account surpluses are not to be fearedIs India’s economy heading the way of its currency?It’s not all doom and gloom for AsiaAsia’s industrial outperformance to continueIndia’s new central bank governor to keep a tight reinAsia’s consumers seeing mixed fortunesInfrastructure projects key for Thailand’s prospectsAsia’s export weakness to continueSingapore’s strong Q2 is not the start of a robust recovery
IMF deal no solution to Pakistan's woesWould a US manufacturing recovery be a threat to Asia?What does Abenomics mean for the rest of Asia?Should Asia be worried by recent currency weakness?Asian currencies take a tumbleInflation to remain low in Emerging AsiaNIEs underperformance set to continueInvestment unlikely to spur Asian economic resurgenceWhere next for interest rates in Vietnam and Sri Lanka?Major challenges await Pakistan after elections
Is a credit bubble forming in Indonesia?Lower commodity prices to help most Asian economiesSingapore to keep monetary policy tightMalaysia's election - what it means for the economyPhilippines - no longer the "sick man of Asia"Will Asia’s export recovery last?Inflation outlook remains benignWorries mount in IndonesiaASEAN to slow, but it will remain a bright spotIndia's budget: A test of policy credibility
What lies ahead for Asia’s sovereign-bond yields?Property prices in Emerging Asia - an updateIs yen weakness a threat to emerging Asia?Peso strength and rupiah weakness to continueVietnam’s exports bucking the regional trendWhat to expect of Asia's exports this yearElections in 2013 – what they mean for AsiaWhat to expect from Asia in 2013What will Korea's election mean for its economy?Has Vietnam's monetary loosening cycle come to an end?
Asian currencies undervalued, but still set to weakenASEAN to outperform over the next decadeLow unemployment no support to domestic demandWhat should we make of Korea’s strengthening currency?Consensus too hawkish on Asia’s policy rate outlookShould we worry about Asia's current account trends?Have Asia’s exports turned a corner?Singapore to loosen monetary policy next yearPakistan’s central bank aiming to rekindle investmentProperty prices in Asia - an update