Emerging Asia Economics

Emerging Asia Economic Outlook
23 September, 2010

Asia is re-balancing and will continue to lead (Q3 10)

The global upswing is now regaining some traction and the threat of renewed financial crisis has
diminished. However, the world recovery will stay weak and vulnerable to other risks such as
deflation and protectionism. Emerging Asia’s expansion will moderate too. But the combination of
vibrant domestic demand, improving trade links across emerging markets, as well as local policy
flexibility, means that hard-landings remain unlikely. Policy rates look set to rise by the end of
November in Korea, Taiwan, India, Pakistan, Thailand, Malaysia, the Philippines and Australia. The
rally in currencies should continue and a boom in stocks looks on the way in coming quarters....

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