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Emerging Asia Data Response

Philippines GDP (Q2)

Economic growth in the Philippines unexpectedly slowed in Q2 and we expect growth to remain subdued in the second half of 2022 as high commodity prices, rising interest rates and weaker global demand drag on the economy.

9 August 2022

Emerging Asia Data Response

Indonesia GDP (Q2)

Economic growth in Indonesia remained strong in Q2, but we expect the economy to slow in the second half of the year as the jump in commodity prices goes into reverse and the boost from reopening fades.

5 August 2022

Emerging Asia Data Response

Manufacturing PMIs, Korea Trade, Indonesia CPI

Manufacturing PMIs for July fell back amid further signs that global demand is weakening. With global growth set to slow further and domestic interest rates set to continue rising, the region’s industrial sectors face a tough year ahead. EM Drop-In (4th August, 10:00 ET/15:00 BST): Join our monthly online session on the big issues in emerging markets. In this 20-minute briefing, the team will be answering your questions about debt risks amid global tightening, the latest on the inflation outlook and much more. Register now.

1 August 2022

Emerging Asia Data Response

Taiwan GDP (Q2, provisional)

GDP in Taiwan contracted last quarter as a surge in COVID-19 cases weighed heavily on consumer-facing sectors and exports slowed. Although consumption should bounce back now that virus cases are falling and mobility is rebounding, the worsening prospects for exports means growth is likely to be slower than most expect over the coming year. Drop-In (Thurs, 28th July): Our Emerging Asia and China teams will be discussing what lies in store for the region’s exporters as global recession risks rise. Register here to join this 20-minute online briefing.

29 July 2022

Emerging Asia Data Response

Korea GDP (Q2)

Korean GDP growth picked up slightly in the first quarter, but this is likely to be as good as it gets for the economy. We expect growth to slow in the second half of 2022 as rising interest rates, higher commodity prices and weaker global growth drag on prospects.

26 July 2022

Emerging Asia Data Response

Manufacturing PMIs, Korea Trade, Indonesia CPI

Manufacturing PMIs for June fell back mainly due to the weakness of external demand. We think weaker global growth will remain a drag on exports over the coming months and that the region’s industrial sectors face a tough year ahead. EM Drop-In (Thurs, 7th July): Join our economists for their regular monthly briefing on the hot stories in EMs – and those that aren’t getting the attention they deserve. In this 20-minute session, topics will include the outlook for EM FX markets after the recent sell-offs. Register now.

1 July 2022

Emerging Asia Data Response

Manufacturing PMIs, Korea Trade (May)

Manufacturing PMIs for May suggest that cost pressures remain high, but there were more encouraging signs on the external front, with new export orders showing signs of stabilising. Meanwhile, Korean trade data point to an easing of the disruption from China.

1 June 2022

Emerging Asia Data Response

Singapore GDP (Q1, revised)

The decent upwards revision to Q1 GDP data reveals that the economy gained more momentum at the end of the quarter, a trend which is likely to carry on throughout Q2. Asia Drop-In (26th May, 0900 BST/16:00 SGT): Can Asia remain the low inflation exception? Join our 20-minute briefing about the region’s price and policy outlooks. Register here.

25 May 2022

Emerging Asia Data Response

Thailand GDP (Q1)

Following continued growth in the first quarter, the pace of the recovery will largely depend on how quickly tourists return now that the country has fully reopened to foreign visitors. Emerging Asia Drop-In (26th May): Can Emerging Asia remain the global low inflation exception? Economists from our Emerging Asia team will discuss the region’s growth, inflation and policy outlooks in this special 20-minute online briefing. Register now.

17 May 2022

Emerging Asia Data Response

Malaysia GDP (Q1)

Malaysia’s economy continued to rebound strongly at the start of this year and should grow at a decent pace throughout the rest of 2022. That said, there is still a long way for the recovery to go and we don’t think the central bank will rush its tightening cycle, which kicked off on Wednesday. EM Drop-In (17th May): Do current EM debt strains point to a repeat of the kinds of crises seen in the 1980s and 1990s? Join our special briefing on EM sovereign debt risk on Tuesday. Register now.

13 May 2022

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