UK Housing

UK Housing Market Data Response

UK Housing Market Data Response

Credit Conditions Survey (Q3 2021)

An ongoing improvement in credit availability may offset the increase in Bank Rate we expect in 2022. That offers support to our forecast that mortgage rates will remain low.

14 October 2021

UK Housing Market Data Response

RICS Residential Market Survey (Sep.)

The RICS survey suggests that the housing market has shrugged off the deterioration in sentiment about the broader economy so far. Demand stabilised at a high level in September while stock remained limited, so strong competition between buyers appears set to bid up house prices further in the near term.

14 October 2021

UK Housing Market Data Response

Halifax House Prices (Sep.)

The large rise in the Halifax house price index in September suggests that we are right to think that robust demand and limited inventory will mean that prices record further gains after the stamp duty holiday ends.

7 October 2021
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UK Housing Market Data Response

IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI (Sep.)

The further drop in the construction PMI in September suggested that the recovery in construction has faltered amid a severe lack of materials and staff, spiralling costs, and softening demand.

UK Housing Market Data Response

Nationwide House Prices (Sep.)

The only small gain in house prices in September suggests that house price growth slowed as the stamp duty holiday was withdrawn. But with inventory limited and demand resilient, we suspect that house price growth will cool gradually rather than collapse.

30 September 2021

UK Housing Market Data Response

Mortgage Lending (Aug.)

While still above pre-COVID-19 levels mortgage approvals edged down in August, suggesting no great rush to move before the stamp duty holiday taper ends at the end of September. But an increase in the size of mortgages approved indicates that the end of the tax break may only be a small drag on demand.

29 September 2021

UK Housing Market Data Response

Mortgage Lenders and Administrators Statistics (Q2 21)

The further surge in mortgage lending to a fresh post-financial-crisis high and booming house prices begs the question whether there is over-exuberance in the housing market. But as the surge has been driven by a jump in home moving as opposed to riskier lending there isn’t yet cause for concern.

14 September 2021

UK Housing Market Data Response

RICS Residential Market Survey (Aug.)

While demand continued to soften in August limited stock on the market points to house price inflation remaining high in the near term. And despite the end of the stamp duty holiday, surveyors expect sales to hold steady at an elevated level.

9 September 2021
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