Skip to main content

Argentina and the IMF: what happens next?

The announcement yesterday that Argentina will seek an IMF deal has brought some relief to the peso, but it’s far from guaranteed that an agreement will be reached. More generally, talk of an IMF deal highlights something that we have been arguing for some time – that the consensus view on Argentina over the past 12-18 months has been far too complacent, given the build-up of economic vulnerabilities. Our forecasts have been at the bottom end of the consensus range, but a recession is now looking likely.

Become a client to read more

This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.

Already have an account?

You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.

Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it

Register for free

Sign up for a free account to gain:

  • Unlock additional content
  • Register for Capital Economics events
  • Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
  • Request a free trial of our services


Get access