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More signs that the trade recovery has reached its limits

While world goods trade fell in July, the signs are that it perked up a bit in August. But stepping back from the month-to-month moves, global trade flows have broadly flattened out at a high level, and we expect this pattern to continue into 2022. With resilient goods demand pushing up against capacity constraints in the global shipping and wider logistics industries, freight costs are likely to remain elevated.

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