Global Economics

James Swanston is a Middle East and North Africa Economist in our Emerging Markets team. James re-joined Capital Economics permanently in August 2017 after completing his studies, having previously spent a year at Capital Economics on an industrial placement as part of his undergraduate degree. He holds a degree in Economics from the University of Bath.

Articles published by James Swanston

• Tunisia and the IMF, UAE COVID outbreak, “The Line”
• Egypt: rising inflation to keep easing cycle on pause
• Saudi oil output, vaccine rollout, Qatar un-blockaded
• End to Qatar blockade not an economic gamechanger
• Whole Economy PMIs (Dec.)
• COVID-19 vaccines, Dubai tourism, Egypt privatisations
• Egypt budget, Bahrain stimulus, Dubai property
• Egypt Consumer Prices (Nov.)
• OPEC+ deal, Qatar blockade, Morocco and the IMF
• Whole Economy PMIs (Nov.)
• Are the region’s currency pegs still credible?
• CBE to continue cautious loosening cycle
• Egypt Consumer Prices (Oct.)
• US election, oil output cuts, COVID-19 restrictions
• How will Gulf governments finance budget deficits?
• Whole Economy PMIs (Oct.)
• What does the fall in price of oil mean for the Gulf?
• Saudi budget, Hariri returns, Oman gets financing
• Gulf to lean more on debt markets amid low oil prices
• NCB-Samba merger, Oman VAT, OPEC+ deal
• Egypt: lower inflation target would temper rate cuts
• Egyptian inflation and the IMF, GDP data, Tunisian debt
• Dubai’s debts still a major cause for concern
• Whole Economy PMIs (Sep.)
• Saudi austerity, Arabtec liquidation, Lebanese politics
• Kuwait’s new Emir faces tough challenges
• CBE likely to continue with gradual monetary easing
• Oil price fall and Gulf fiscal strains, tourism reopening
• Egypt Consumer Prices (Aug.)
• Egyptian inflation to stay below target
• Whole Economy PMIs (Aug.)
• Deflation in the Gulf to persist
• Lebanon’s crisis continues to worsen, Tunisian politics
• Assessing the state of coronavirus in MENA
• Egypt’s external strains easing, but pound to weaken
• Latest on the Beirut blast, oil price rise
• Whole Economy PMIs (Jul.)
• Dubai GREs, Hezbollah-Israel conflict, peak oil demand
• Gulf rulers’ health, Dubai property downturn
• Tunisia’s political crisis, Kuwait debt, GERD, OPEC+
• Diriyah Gate, UAE banks, migrant workers in the Gulf
• Sovereign debt risks growing in Tunisia
• Whole Economy PMIs (Jun.)
• Dubai GDP, tourism, Egypt & the IMF, Lebanon’s crisis
• UAE banks, Kuwait’s savings, Egyptian cafés
• Banks to weather the storm, but pockets of risk linger
• Egypt and the IMF, OPEC+ extension, Saudi case surge
• Egypt Consumer Prices (May)
• Remittance slump adds to economic headwinds
• Whole Economy PMIs (May)
• Lebanon heads to the IMF, but risks still abound
• Is Dubai facing another debt crisis?
• Oil output cuts mean Gulf slump to be even deeper
• Egypt Consumer Prices (Mar.)
• Whole Economy PMIs (Mar.)
• Coronavirus latest, IMF deals, Egyptian pound
• Tourism slump to hit parts of the region hard
• Dubai the most vulnerable to coronavirus outbreak
• Oil price collapse, coronavirus response
• Egypt Consumer Prices (Feb.)
• Lebanon: how might a debt restructuring play out?
• Coronavirus policy response, Lebanon’s debt decision
• Whole Economy PMIs (Feb.)
• Currency adjustments lie in store in a few economies
• Emerging Markets Capital Flows Monitor
• Moroccan car sector to drive recovery this year
• Whole Economy PMIs (Jan.)
• What’s behind the weakness in the Gulf?
• Whole Economy PMIs (Dec.)
• Tight fiscal policy in the Gulf, Saudi labour market
• Aramco IPO, Saudi growth, Algeria’s election
• Egypt Consumer Prices (Nov.)
• Oil output cuts likely to drag on Saudi recovery
• Lebanon crisis, OPEC+ meeting, Aramco IPO
• Whole Economy PMIs (Nov.)
• Qatar’s banking risks re-emerging
• How credible are the region’s dollar pegs?
• Whole Economy PMIs (Oct.)
• Lebanon’s turmoil, Dubai’s property woes, Aramco IPO
• Saudi economic downturn deepens
• Kuwait’s weak economic performance to continue
• Tunisia’s election outturn threatens policy paralysis
• Tunisian election, pressure builds in Egypt for stimulus
• Gulf recession fears, Lebanese pound under pressure
• Whole Economy PMIs (Sep.)
• Dubai’s economic struggles to continue
• Saudi Consumer Prices (Aug.)
• Qatar: close to a turning point, but growth to disappoint
• Whole Economy PMIs (Aug.)
• Sovereign debt in the spotlight
• Frontier financial markets underperform
• Balance sheet fears escalate in frontier markets
• EM currency vulnerabilities shifting
• EM inflation at post-financial crisis low
• Sovereign debt risks building