Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

UK Commercial Property Focus

Occasional “think pieces” on themes of current interest.

Sample - Will commercial property prices start to fall again in 2012?

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Articles
Is the low office to retail yield spread sustainable?Is weak investment market activity a sign of trouble ahead?How will UK property markets fare in 2012?Will non-bank lending really help the property market?Will commercial property prices start to fall again in 2012?Can hotels weather the consumer spending slump?How much further can the Central London office boom run?Permission-free conversions: a watershed proposal?Will London offices outperform the Big Six over 2011-13?Budget 2011: Still banking on Plan A
Are lenders really set to abandon delay and pray policies?Where will the property to bond yield spread go next?What is the outlook for leisure property returns?Beyond austerity: the long-run outlook for high street shopsEffect of consumer austerity on high street shops investmentProperty in the new ParliamentDoes the yield curve foreshadow property performance?Will real UK commercial property rental values stay flat?Will the retail sector again outperform following recession?Standard industrials & distribution warehouses: the outlook
Which sector has the best long-term rental value prospects?Total returns in 2010: how good could they get?The effect of voids on landlords' income during a downturnThe effects of structural lease changes on landlords’ incomeWhat do recent policy initiatives mean for property?Is the medium-term outlook for hotels still relatively favourable?Property in business: a waste of space? How things look nowOur economic forecast revisions: implications for propertyIs commercial property now fairly valued?West End office rental values set to slump
What are the prospects for lending to commercial property?Do commercial property derivatives have predictive power?Has the property investment market cycle changed?What is the outlook for hotel property?The economic damage from the other property crashThe outlook for leisure property returnsCommercial property defaults to rise?A commercial property rental downturn loomsWill prime and secondary both suffer in the downturn?Are Central London office rents heading for a fall?
A sharper adjustment than in the past?Foreign investment in UK commercial property; in-depthWhat is the worst-case scenario for capital values?Indirect property investment: A weak link?UK Budget 2007 - Robbing Peter to pay PeterCommercial property: Soft landing realistic?Vacancy rates and London office rentsUK-REITs: A major impact, or a damp squib?Are the Consensus Property Forecasts accurate?Budget 2006: Implications for property
Strong demand for retail floorspace unlikely to persistIs the IPD Index accurate and timely?Will tele-working threaten office rents?How should property be valued?Don’t panic! (Commercial Property Lending)London to remain the best performing industrial regionWill the housing slump derail retail property rents?Industrial rents to feel ill-effects of economic slowdownIs property over-valued?Should investors fear lease reform?
(Re) Location, LocationGet ready for the REIT revolutionOffshoring does not threaten the demand for UK office spaceWill interest rate hikes end the commercial property investment boom?