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Latin America Update

Short and timely commentaries on economic or market issues and events.

Sample - Food prices drive Mexican inflation higher

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Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 23 May, 2012Argentina edging closer to recession Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 23 May, 2012Pre-election spending deepens structural problems in Venezuela Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 22 May, 2012What should we expect from first quarter GDP in Brazil?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 18 May, 2012Strong start to the year in Chile unlikely to last Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 18 May, 2012Spanish banking links revisited Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 17 May, 2012Mexican economy well placed to weather external shocks Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 16 May, 2012Latin America currencies battered by flight to safety Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 08 May, 2012Opening up Mexican oil sector could pump growth Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 08 May, 2012Counting the cost of Argentina’s trade barriers Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 03 May, 2012Mexican industry to outperform

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 02 May, 2012Brazilian manufacturing suffers a relapse Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 01 May, 2012Old concerns re-emerge as Peru’s recovery gains pace Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 30 Apr, 2012Tweaking our interest rate forecasts Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 27 Apr, 2012Argentina’s economic ‘model’ living on borrowed time Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 24 Apr, 2012Argentine FDI: is there life after YPF?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 20 Apr, 2012Mexico Election Watch: PRI consolidates its lead Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 20 Apr, 2012Brazil’s interest rate floor revisited Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 19 Apr, 2012What next for Brazilian rates?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 18 Apr, 2012Chile, Peru signal near-term rate change unlikely Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 16 Apr, 2012Credit growth still uncomfortably strong

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 13 Apr, 2012Brazil returns to (unbalanced) growth Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 12 Apr, 2012Balanced growth suggests Mexico will continue to outperform Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 05 Apr, 2012Chilean economy not yet out of the woods Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 05 Apr, 2012YPF just another scapegoat for failures of Argentine model Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 03 Apr, 2012Price controls are not the answer to Venezuelan inflation Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 03 Apr, 2012Mexican survey data strong, but rates could still fall this year Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 02 Apr, 2012Better PMI won’t prompt ceasefire in Brazil’s “currency war”Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 30 Mar, 2012Mexico Election Watch: Will Peña Nieto push through reforms?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 30 Mar, 2012Uruguayan rates on hold as economy begins to cool Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 28 Mar, 2012Jump in oil prices is a net benefit for Latin America

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 27 Mar, 2012Argentine Q4 slowdown is a sign of things to come Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 23 Mar, 2012Argentina: New BCRA Charter is a licence to print money Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 23 Mar, 2012What next for Brazil’s “currency war”?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 22 Mar, 2012Strong Q4 in Colombia, but can it last?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 19 Mar, 2012Is Chile’s economy already on the mend?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 16 Mar, 2012Mexican interest rates still more likely to fall than rise Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 15 Mar, 2012Warning signs from the Colombian capital account Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 13 Mar, 2012Mexico set for period of steady, yet unspectacular, growth Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 12 Mar, 2012Mercosur protectionism may have a silver lining for Uruguay Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 09 Mar, 2012Peruvian inflation poised to fall further in coming months

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 08 Mar, 2012Brazilian rates heading back to 2009 low Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 07 Mar, 2012Mexico Election Watch: Presidential race starting to heat up Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 06 Mar, 2012Brazil avoids recession but “two-speed” growth is unsustainable Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 05 Mar, 2012Capital inflows threaten to destabilise Latin America Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 01 Mar, 2012Brazil’s industrial recovery at threat from resurgent real Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 01 Mar, 2012Argentina’s suspect data puts spotlight back on ‘Kirchnerismo’Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 28 Feb, 2012Peru to remain among the region’s best performers in 2012 Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 27 Feb, 2012Concerns about Brazilian credit growth starting to resurface Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 27 Feb, 2012Colombia hikes rates as imbalances resurface Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 24 Feb, 2012Venezuela facing huge challenges despite bond market rally

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 21 Feb, 2012Mexican interest rates still more likely to fall than rise Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 17 Feb, 2012Argentina's economy looks to have come off the boil in Q4 Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 16 Feb, 2012Taking stock of Brazil's budget cuts Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 15 Feb, 2012Rates on hold as Chile’s economy regains some momentum Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 14 Feb, 2012Making sense of Latin America’s inflation conundrum Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 13 Feb, 2012Will Chavez get stuck in the MUD?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 08 Feb, 2012Chile: central bank may pause before cutting rates again Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 06 Feb, 2012Fiscal reforms still key to preventing excessive FX appreciation Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 03 Feb, 2012Uruguay: threat of overheating to recede this year Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 01 Feb, 2012Brazilian industry finding its feet

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 31 Jan, 2012Colombian interest rates still likely to fall this year Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 30 Jan, 2012Chile’s two-speed economy likely to struggle in 2012 Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 27 Jan, 2012Argentina: time to face the ugly truth on inflation?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 26 Jan, 2012Savings hold the key to dealing with falling commodity prices Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 25 Jan, 2012Peru’s Humala makes a solid start; bigger challenges ahead Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 20 Jan, 2012Colombian growth easing, not overheating Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 19 Jan, 2012Few surprises as BCB signals further easing to come Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 16 Jan, 2012Peru: further policy stimulus on the cards as growth eases Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 16 Jan, 2012Argentina on a road to nowhere with protectionist policies Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 13 Jan, 2012Chile cuts interest rates as growth cools

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 12 Jan, 2012Brazil: Retail strength unlikely to offset industrial weakness Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 10 Jan, 2012Venezuela: Devaluation may be delayed until after elections Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 09 Jan, 2012Food prices drive Mexican inflation higher Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 09 Jan, 2012Ecuador feels the squeeze from lower oil prices Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 06 Jan, 2012Brazil meets inflation target by the skin of its teeth Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 05 Jan, 2012Brazilian industry remains under the cosh Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 05 Jan, 2012Chile to cut rates as economic activity cools Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 04 Jan, 2012Resilience in the Mexican economy unlikely to last Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 21 Dec, 2011Uruguay better placed to weather slowdown than Argentina Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 20 Dec, 2011Q3 probably as good as it gets for Colombia

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 14 Dec, 2011Chile: next in the region to commence rate cuts?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 08 Dec, 2011How would a crisis in Europe hit Latin American banks?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 08 Dec, 2011Argentina: Material changes to the “model” still seem unlikely Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 07 Dec, 2011Emerging Economies: Five key calls for 2012 Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 07 Dec, 2011Lat Am equities to disappoint in 2012, outperform in 2013 Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 06 Dec, 2011Brazil: Interest rates to fall further as economy stalls Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 05 Dec, 2011Slowing growth in Chile bolsters the case for rate cuts Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 02 Dec, 2011Quick fixes are storing up a large adjustment in Venezuela Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 01 Dec, 2011Brazilian interest rates heading for single digits Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 28 Nov, 2011Interest rate cuts still likely in Peru as economy outperforms

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 28 Nov, 2011Colombian interest rates still likely to fall next year Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 24 Nov, 2011Brazilian banks tighten the screw Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 24 Nov, 2011Colombia should continue to outperform next year Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 23 Nov, 2011Colombia: Reform agenda must keep up with commodity boom Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 22 Nov, 2011Mexico Q3 GDP surprises on the upside, but still likely to slow Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 18 Nov, 2011Chilean GDP growth to slow as global headwinds build Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 16 Nov, 2011Chile, Peru play a waiting game on rates Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 14 Nov, 2011What are the implications of Argentina's subsidy cuts?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 11 Nov, 2011Peru: modest rate cuts likely in 2012 Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 11 Nov, 2011Brazilian inflation has peaked

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 09 Nov, 2011Ecuador’s current pace of growth is unsustainable Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 09 Nov, 2011Concerns about Mexican inflation fading, rate cuts on the way Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 08 Nov, 2011Colombia-US trade agreement could ease Dutch Disease Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 02 Nov, 2011Is there a floor on Brazilian interest rates?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 01 Nov, 2011Brazilian industry slides into recession Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 31 Oct, 2011Argentina: currency controls could prove self-defeating Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 31 Oct, 2011Colombian interest rates could still fall next year Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 25 Oct, 2011Worrying signs from Brazil's current account (again)Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 24 Oct, 2011Fernández victory sets Argentina up for a hard landing Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 20 Oct, 2011Argentina set to re-elect Cristina, but what next?

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 20 Oct, 2011Brazil rate cuts not as risky as most assume Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 18 Oct, 2011Latin America’s currencies still look overvalued Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 14 Oct, 2011Chile: rate cuts expected from Q1 2012 Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 12 Oct, 2011Mexican equity market highlights the risk of recession Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 12 Oct, 2011Currency depreciation unlikely to delay interest rate cuts for long Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 06 Oct, 2011Chile’s budget expansion is built on solid foundations Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 06 Oct, 2011Brazilian inflation has probably peaked Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 04 Oct, 2011Mexican IMEF surveys point to weak Q3 Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 03 Oct, 2011Brazil industry sliding into recession Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 30 Sep, 2011Uruguay: rates have peaked, cuts to follow in 2012

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 26 Sep, 2011Credit cycle about to turn in Latin America Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 22 Sep, 2011Pillars to Colombian growth set to weaken Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 22 Sep, 2011How vulnerable is Chile to a global slowdown?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 22 Sep, 2011What should we make of the real’s fall from grace?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 19 Sep, 2011Argentina: threat of overheating still looms large Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 15 Sep, 2011Uruguay’s slowing growth to continue for a while yet Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 15 Sep, 2011Argentina’s inflation inaccuracies underlie deeper economic ills Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 13 Sep, 2011Mexico: Weak wage growth to underpin fragile domestic demand Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 09 Sep, 2011Peru: in no rush to follow Brazil’s lead on rates Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 06 Sep, 2011Mexico: IMEF manufacturing survey not as promising as it seems

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 06 Sep, 2011Brazilian inflation edges further above target Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 02 Sep, 2011Brazil: Q2 GDP data solid, Q3 looking dire Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 02 Sep, 2011Mexico most likely to follow Brazil’s lead?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 01 Sep, 2011What next for Brazilian rates?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 30 Aug, 2011Will the next move in Mexican rates be down?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 30 Aug, 2011Peru slows but solid fundamentals remain intact Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 22 Aug, 2011Colombia: Global uncertainty prompts pause in rate hikes Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 19 Aug, 2011Mexican economy set for extended period of slow growth Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 19 Aug, 2011Chile shifts to neutral on softer global growth prospects Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 18 Aug, 2011Chile’s resilient growth faces tougher times ahead

Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 18 Aug, 2011Venezuelan gold rush a sign that the dollar drought is back Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 17 Aug, 2011Brazil: here comes the slowdown Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 15 Aug, 2011Peru: Growth slowing but not collapsing Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 12 Aug, 2011Another pause for Peru as policymakers take shelter Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 11 Aug, 2011Mexico: Interest rates on hold until 2013?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 09 Aug, 2011Market mayhem underlines downside risks to growth Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 08 Aug, 2011Chile’s slowing inflation makes another pause probable Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 08 Aug, 2011Are emerging markets immune?Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 04 Aug, 2011Mexican IMEF survey points to weak growth Latin America Economics > Latin America Update — 02 Aug, 2011Brazil: attention back on the real

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