Capital Economics

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European Commercial Property Focus

European Commercial Property Focus

Office development tax hike adds downside risk to Paris rental outlook

This year’s changes to property taxation in Ile de France could result in a larger proportion of the potential office development pipeline being delivered to the market than otherwise might be expected. If this coincides with a sharp slowdown in occupier demand, as we expect, then the Paris office market will face a period of oversupply in 2013 and 2014. Consistent with that, we envisage that prime office rents in Paris will fall by 10% to 12% between now and the end of 2014.

 

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