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Emerging Europe Watch

Emerging Europe Watch

Markets still premature in pricing in rate hikes (Oct 09)

Although monetary easing-cycles in much of the region are drawing to a close, we still do not expect rates to be hiked anywhere before the second half of 2010. Turkey is likely to be the first to reverse recent rate cuts, followed by the Czech Republic and Poland. Meanwhile, although Romania’s easing policy may be delayed by recent political events, rates there and in Hungary are likely to fall further.

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