Emerging Europe Watch
Changes at the top do not change outlook for policy (Apr 10)
Both Poland and the Czech Republic are set to announce new Central Bank governors over the coming months. But we suspect this will do little to alter the policy bias in either country. Poland will be amongst the first in the region to tighten monetary policy (after Turkey which recently announced its own ‘exit strategy’). Nonetheless, the strength of the zloty means that rate hikes are unlikely to arrive before Q4. Meanwhile, after nudging down our GDP growth forecast, we now see rates staying on hold in the Czech Republic until mid-2011. The key point for the entire region, however, is that the pace of tightening, whenever it begins, will be gradual. In fact, there is still room for further easing in Hungary and Romania, and in both cases, rates look set to remain at record lows throughout our two-year forecast horizon.
Access to the full article is restricted to Capital Economics clients only.
If you are a client, please log in below to view this article.
Not a client?
To become a client, take a FREE Trial to receive information on services available from Capital Economics.
> Find out more- Emerging Europe Analyst
- Emerging Europe Economics Focus
- Emerging Europe Chart Book
- Emerging Europe Economics Update
- Emerging Europe Watch
- Emerging Europe Rapid Response
Our service includes
- Publications
- Website access
- Seminars & conferences
Capital Economics
The leading macroeconomic research consultancy
The selected article is from our PUBLICATION NAME HERE publication, which is available as part of our SERVICE NAME HERE service.
SERVICE NAME HERE
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Nam tortor lacus, fringilla eget vehicula id, sodales at felis. Phasellus porttitor nibh et nisi tempor viverra. Nullam sapien est, varius ut porta vitae, dignissim varius.
> Find out moreSubscribe now
To subscribe to this service, please contact us at our London office on (0)20 7823 5000, our Singapore office on +65 6595 5190 or our Toronto office on +1.416.413.0428. Alternatively please email us at publications@capitaleconomics.com