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Emerging Europe Economics Update

Emerging Europe Economics Update

Swiss franc peg vs. euro provides only qualified relief

The Swiss National Bank’s decision to effectively peg the Swiss franc to the euro will provide some qualified relief to Croatia, Hungary and Poland, which have significant amounts of Swiss franc debt. However, compared with the rates at which many of these loans were taken out, the implied exchange rate is still pretty high. We therefore do not expect it to provide much relief to stretched household budgets or to boost domestic consumption.

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