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Emerging Europe Economics Update

Emerging Europe Economics Update

Oil prices don't explain the rise in Turkey's external deficit

Turkey reported another large shortfall on its current account in December, which pushed the deficit for last year as a whole to 6.4% of GDP. Rising oil prices partly explain the increase in the external deficit but are by no means the whole story. Without the pick-up in the price of oil last year, Turkey would still have run a current account deficit of around 5% of GDP. Instead, the underlying problem remains a low domestic savings rate.

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