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Emerging Europe Economics Update

Emerging Europe Economics Update

Czech rate hawks undone by the data

July’s slump in Czech retail sales was not a huge surprise, given that June’s surge was built on flimsy foundations. By contrast, the slowdown in industrial production growth, while exacerbated by calendar effects, is more of a concern and contradicts recent survey evidence suggesting the manufacturing sector is in decent shape. There is nothing here to justify the increasing hawkishness of some MPC members.

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