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Emerging Europe Economics Update

Short and timely commentaries on economic or market issues and events.

Sample - Little good news for industry over the New Year

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Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 21 May, 2012Russia: April data still strong, but a slowdown imminent Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 18 May, 2012Emerging Europe’s currencies caught in the crossfire Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 17 May, 2012Policymakers have little room for manoeuvre Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 15 May, 2012Greek exit risks revisited Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 15 May, 2012Q1 GDP data just the tip of the iceberg Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 14 May, 2012Austerity without growth won’t work for Slovenia Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 11 May, 2012Turkey’s rebalancing more difficult from now on Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 09 May, 2012Is this Poland’s “ECB moment”?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 09 May, 2012Is Putin 2.0 for real?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 04 May, 2012Balance tips in favour of Polish rates staying on hold

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 03 May, 2012Bulgaria: back into recession Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 02 May, 2012Romanian rates on hold until politics stabilises Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 02 May, 2012Manufacturing hit by fresh slump in the euro-zone Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 27 Apr, 2012Romania’s government falls victim to austerity backlash Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 26 Apr, 2012Ukraine: growth slowed sharply in Q1 Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 25 Apr, 2012Hungary edges closer to an IMF/EU deal Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 20 Apr, 2012European shale gas adds to risks to Russia’s growth model Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 19 Apr, 2012Markets right to shrug off Czech political worries Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 18 Apr, 2012Hungarian government still too sanguine on IMF deal Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 17 Apr, 2012Euro-zone crisis still the big risk for region’s banks

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 16 Apr, 2012Hungary’s fiscal woes an obstacle to EU-IMF deal Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 13 Apr, 2012Core inflation weakens in Eastern Europe Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 13 Apr, 2012Russian stocks set to underperform Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Apr, 2012Russia probably grew by 4.5% y/y in Q1 Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 11 Apr, 2012Turkish rebalancing: so far, so good but much further to go Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 04 Apr, 2012Polish policymakers turn hawkish Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 03 Apr, 2012Ukraine: downside risk to steel prices adds to headwinds Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 02 Apr, 2012Net exports boost Turkish growth Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 02 Apr, 2012Region stabilising, but Q1 growth still lacklustre Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 29 Mar, 2012Romania cuts rates, Czechs on hold until inflation falls

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 29 Mar, 2012Russia: from sweet spot to tough spot?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 27 Mar, 2012Turkey and Hungary hamstrung by the markets Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 26 Mar, 2012Polish retail sales data overstate consumer demand Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 21 Mar, 2012Turkey’s current account deficit not just about oil Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 20 Mar, 2012Russia continues its strong start to 2012 Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 15 Mar, 2012Ukraine is running out of options Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 14 Mar, 2012Making sense of the latest inflation data Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Mar, 2012Slovakian election puts fiscal policy under the spotlight Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 09 Mar, 2012Q4 data show consumption coming off the boil Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 07 Mar, 2012Polish rates: debate to turn to cuts this year

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 07 Mar, 2012Risks to the Hungarian markets still skewed to downside Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 06 Mar, 2012Why would Russia benefit from lower oil prices?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 02 Mar, 2012Spike in oil prices is a bigger risk to growth than to inflation Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 01 Mar, 2012Industry stagnates Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 01 Mar, 2012Poland still the region’s outperformer Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 28 Feb, 2012Hungarian rates on hold as NBH stays in “wait and see” mode Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 24 Feb, 2012Russian markets shrug off political risk – but can it last?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 21 Feb, 2012Counting the fiscal costs of Putin's pledges Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 21 Feb, 2012Turkish interest rates: little room for manoeuvre Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 17 Feb, 2012Hungary concedes ground to the EC, but barriers still lie ahead

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 16 Feb, 2012Underlying inflation remains weak Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 15 Feb, 2012Hungary bank plan unlikely to trigger revival in bank lending Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 15 Feb, 2012Growth still set to disappoint in 2012 Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 13 Feb, 2012A Turkish soft landing still looks like a tall order Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 10 Feb, 2012Czech Republic likely to be the first in recession Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 07 Feb, 2012Ukraine: too soon to sound the all clear Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 06 Feb, 2012Political uncertainty threatens Romania's splendid isolation Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 03 Feb, 2012Turkish boom hits the buffers Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 02 Feb, 2012Czech rates on hold, looser policy on the cards Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 01 Feb, 2012PMIs add to signs of stabilisation

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 31 Jan, 2012Russian growth increasingly dependent on high oil prices Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 30 Jan, 2012Baltic States: still the poster child for austerity?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 27 Jan, 2012Russia: impressive end to 2011, but a slowdown ahead Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 27 Jan, 2012Polish growth: losing some steam Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 26 Jan, 2012Inflation fears will fade in 2012 Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 24 Jan, 2012Hungary: rates on hold, but problems ahead Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 24 Jan, 2012Talk of Turkish easing looks premature Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 17 Jan, 2012Vienna 2.0 shaping up to be a damp squib Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 17 Jan, 2012An update on Russia’s unrest Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Jan, 2012How great are contagion risks from Hungary?

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 11 Jan, 2012Turkey: painful current account adjustment underway Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 10 Jan, 2012Hungary starts talks with IMF but obstacles ahead Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 09 Jan, 2012Little good news for industry over the New Year Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 05 Jan, 2012Romania cuts rates, lessons for Hungary Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 04 Jan, 2012Hungarian forint falls to record low, but IMF help looks elusive Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 03 Jan, 2012Turkey tightens further, adding to recession risk Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 20 Dec, 2011Hungary: further tightening on the cards Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 13 Dec, 2011Central Europe’s underlying inflation still weak Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Dec, 2011Russia: banking squeeze intensifies amidst political unrest Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Dec, 2011Turkish GDP: export boost masks weaker domestic demand

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 08 Dec, 2011Turkey: the slowdown has started Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 07 Dec, 2011Emerging Economies: Five key calls for 2012 Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 05 Dec, 2011Will the fall in Putin’s popularity trigger reform?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 01 Dec, 2011Manufacturing sliding into recession Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 30 Nov, 2011Poland: less vulnerable, but not immune Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 29 Nov, 2011Hungary rate hike fails to impress the currency markets Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 25 Nov, 2011Russian rates on hold despite growing squeeze on banks Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 24 Nov, 2011Russian inflation to touch record lows Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 23 Nov, 2011Western support for CEE banks starts to wane Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 23 Nov, 2011Turkish tightening here to stay

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 18 Nov, 2011Hungary: IMF fiasco highlights concerns over policy predictability Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 17 Nov, 2011First thoughts on Hungary's move back to the IMF Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 15 Nov, 2011Pillars of decent Q3 growth already crumbling Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 14 Nov, 2011Solid Q3 for Russia, while Hungary teeters on the brink Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 11 Nov, 2011The Baltic bounce looks set to fade Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 10 Nov, 2011Banking sector risks revisited Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 09 Nov, 2011What can Czech policymakers do to stimulate growth?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 07 Nov, 2011IMF impasse pushes Ukraine closer to the edge Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 02 Nov, 2011Upside surprise from PMIs, but industry still slowing Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 31 Oct, 2011Russia: WTO gains depend on wider economic reform

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 26 Oct, 2011Turkish Central Bank tightens the screw Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 25 Oct, 2011Is Russia's Central Bank running out of options?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 24 Oct, 2011Central Europe markets rally despite slide towards recession Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 20 Oct, 2011Turkey: CBRT returns to orthodoxy Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 19 Oct, 2011Solid Q3 for Russia, but slowdown on the horizon Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 18 Oct, 2011What will weaker currencies mean for inflation?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 14 Oct, 2011Financing risks on the rise in Ukraine Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 13 Oct, 2011Turkey’s Medium-Term Programme offers little comfort Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 13 Oct, 2011What next for the ruble?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Oct, 2011Emerging Europe's external financing risks still high

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 10 Oct, 2011Polish elections reassuring but slowdown ahead Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 05 Oct, 2011Hungary FX debt plan amounts to backdoor default Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 04 Oct, 2011Polish economy now more vulnerable to a euro-zone slump Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 03 Oct, 2011Manufacturing stalling Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 29 Sep, 2011Russia's balance sheet revisited Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 26 Sep, 2011The return of President Putin Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 19 Sep, 2011Russian economy gains momentum Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 19 Sep, 2011Should we be worried about inflation in Hungary?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 14 Sep, 2011Central Bank of Russia prepares for global downturn Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Sep, 2011Turkey: Q2 growth strong, but recession threat mounting

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 09 Sep, 2011Industrial production: slump on the horizon Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 07 Sep, 2011Next move in Polish interest rates likely to be down Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 07 Sep, 2011Hungary’s budget black hole filled only temporarily Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 06 Sep, 2011Swiss franc peg vs. euro provides only qualified relief Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 01 Sep, 2011More gloomy news on regional manufacturing Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 30 Aug, 2011Poland GDP growth remains robust, but for how long?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 25 Aug, 2011Russia's public finances not as strong as they seem Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 23 Aug, 2011Odds on Turkish recession start to shorten Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 16 Aug, 2011Growth slows in Q2 and worse is to come Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Aug, 2011What does the market turmoil mean for policy?

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 11 Aug, 2011Super-strong Swiss franc hits Hungary & Poland Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 11 Aug, 2011Weak Russian GDP data a sign of things to come Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 09 Aug, 2011European slump set to harm Czech growth prospects Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 08 Aug, 2011Are emerging markets immune?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 04 Aug, 2011Turkey’s monetary policy experiment gets risky Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 03 Aug, 2011Turkey MPC meeting to focus on the lira Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 02 Aug, 2011Q2 slowdown a sign of things to come Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 01 Aug, 2011Industrial production slows to a crawl Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 26 Jul, 2011Next move in Hungarian rates should still be down Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 25 Jul, 2011Turkish growth set to slow sharply

Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 13 Jul, 2011Dip in Polish inflation takes pressure off NBP Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Jul, 2011Can Emerging Europe stay under the radar?Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 12 Jul, 2011Inflationary pressures retreat Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 08 Jul, 2011Industry likely to slow in the second half Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 07 Jul, 2011Poland’s twin deficits cloud an otherwise bright outlook Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 06 Jul, 2011Polish interest rates on ice Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 04 Jul, 2011Czech Republic: Retail sales disappoint Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 01 Jul, 2011Manufacturing growth slowing, price pressures easing Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 30 Jun, 2011Turkish growth is unsustainable Emerging Europe Economics > Emerging Europe Economics Update — 23 Jun, 2011Turkish policymakers stick to their guns

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