Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

Emerging Europe Economics Focus

Occasional “think pieces” on themes of current interest.

Sample - Lessons from the Fall of the Wall

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Articles
Russia’s dwindling surpluses: causes and consequencesWhy Hungary will opt for defaultInstability to define Putin’s third term in officeEuro-crisis: how big is the threat of financial contagion for EMs?The economic consequences of Russia's unrestRussia's new oil tax: radical reform or damp squib?Sovereign Debt: are the emerging markets immune?Lessons from the Fall of the WallTurkey’s current account deficit: recession in the making?Euro-crisis: How big is the contagion threat?
Capital flows to emerging markets: an accident waiting to happen?Will emerging markets outperform again?Does Emerging Europe need the euro?Can Poland stay ahead of the pack?How does Russia benefit from higher oil prices?Should we worry about Poland's widening external deficit?Hungary's 2011 Budget: an exercise in smoke and mirrorsEmerging markets will not rescue the rest of the worldRussia unlikely to remain a 'super saver' for very longCentral Europe: the fiscal squeeze is here
Why Turkey must save its way to sustainable growthTurkey stays on course to outperformCan Eastern European currencies buck a weaker euro?What can Czech policymakers do about the koruna?Will Russia be Europe’s leader or laggard?Spring elections to spotlight fiscal frailtiesIs the Russian recovery built to last?Croatia’s recovery set to disappointThree challenges facing emerging markets in 2010Ukraine: At a crossroads
Latvia’s Swan SongWill deficit financing trigger a surge in Russian inflation?Poland: Fiscal mess blots the outlookHungary: a step in the right direction, but more pain to comeWill 'car scrapping' drive a recovery in Emerging Europe?Emerging Markets - another disaster?What can be done to stop the rot?Time to tear up the growth model?A chill wind blows eastA grim year ahead for Emerging Europe's banks
The anatomy of the Great Depression of the 1930sWill recession in Eastern Europe bring down banks in the West‘Super Deficit’ countries in recession in 2009Will falling oil prices halt Russia's boom?Growth clouds start to gatherWill the BRICs win the inflation battle?Have record oil prices hit Russian manufacturing?Romania: a 21st century manufacturing hub?Is the improvement in the Czech public finances sustainable?How strong are Emerging Europe's banks?
Russia: How to tame double-digit inflationSlovakia: kicking out the korunaWill Russian equities buck the global trend?Can Emerging Europe weather a global slowdown?Russia: What Next After Putin?What next after the Baltic and Balkan party?Self-sustaining growth in Emerging Europe?An investor's guide to the Big FourTurkey: the end of a golden era?Labour market reform critical to Polish prospects
Hungary: the sick man of Central Europe?How dependent is Russia on high energy prices?Slovenia: A role model for Emerging Europe?