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Emerging Asia Economics Update

Emerging Asia Economics Update

Should we worry about India's widening external deficit?

The current account shortfall in India has climbed quickly to the equivalent of almost 4% of GDP while the composition of foreign financing has deteriorated. Nevertheless, we judge that this should not be a big cause for concern. The external deficit should narrow in coming years as fiscal consolidation feeds through into a higher domestic savings rate. We also anticipate that financing worries will ease and that foreign direct investment will soon start to climb again.

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