Emerging Asia Economics Update
Are Vietnam's policy-makers losing the plot?
October data from Vietnam have brought a sharp acceleration in annual inflation and another increase in the merchandise trade deficit. Nevertheless, the authorities continue to target faster credit growth and a more rapid GDP gain. It would be best if Vietnam focused on getting inflation down and tightened monetary policies. We expect that Vietnam will eventually do this but the adjustment is unlikely to happen ahead of the National Party Congress which takes place in January 2011.
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